Astros Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 28, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2021

Seeking their 13th win, the Houston Astros (12-11) are favorites (-225) on the moneyline when they take on the Seattle Mariners (13-11) on Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET, live on SportsNet SW. Houston’s Zack Greinke and Seattle’s Justin Dunn have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 28, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Mariners Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has played as a favorite of -225 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The Astros have a 66.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 6
ERA 3.27
K/9 8.8

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been victorous in 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has played as an underdog of +185 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 33.6% chance of walking away with the win.
  • When it comes to the total, the Mariners and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their previous 10 games.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 2.79
K/9 7.6

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Justin Dunn

  • Dunn (1-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mariners, his fourth of the season.
  • The righty’s most recent time out came on Thursday against the Red Sox, when he went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In three games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.68, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .173 against him.
  • Dunn is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.1 frames per start.
  • The Mariners won each of Dunn’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 28, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 12-11
Home 6-6
Road 6-5
vs LHP (Starters) 7-6
vs RHP (Starters) 5-5
Day Games 0-2
Night Games 12-9

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • The Astros will send Greinke (2-1) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed 10 hits in seven innings against the Angels.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 37-year-old falls outside of the league leaders in WHIP and strikeouts.
  • Greinke will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • His team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 28, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mariners Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 13-11
Home 6-5
Road 7-6
vs LHP (Starters) 3-4
vs RHP (Starters) 10-7
Day Games 4-2
Night Games 9-9

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros are 18th in baseball with 25 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.
  • The Astros have a 6-1 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Houston has hit six home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Yuli Gurriel is batting .349 with 16 RBI, both of which are tops among Houston hitters this season.
  • Michael Brantley has 26 hits and an OBP of .370 to go with a slugging percentage of .571 this season.

Mariners Hitting Stats

  • The Mariners have hit 24 homers this season, which ranks 21st in the league.
  • They are 6-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Seattle has hit eight home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Ty France leads the Mariners with a team-high batting average of .314.
  • Mitch Haniger has shown off his power as he paces his team with five home runs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (+185)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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