Pirates Vs Royals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 27, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 27, 2021

The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-11) host the Kansas City Royals (14-7) on Tuesday at 6:35 PM ET(broadcast on SportsNet PT). Oddsmakers have opted not to choose a favorite for the contest, installing pick ’em odds, instead. Tyler Anderson starts for Pittsburgh while Kansas City will counter with Jakob Junis.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 27, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Pirates vs Royals Betting Lines

Pirates Betting Insights

  • This is the first time the Pirates will play as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -109 odds on them winning this game.
  • The Pirates have a 50% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 3.64
K/9 8.9

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Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been underdogs in 10 games this season and have come away with the win six times (60%) in those contests.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 6-5 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Royals and their foes are 2-8 when it comes to hitting the over.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 3.66
K/9 9.3

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jakob Junis

  • Junis (1-0 with a 3.71 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 17 innings pitched) makes the start for the Royals, his fourth of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Rays, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In five games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.71, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .230 against him.
  • Junis is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.0 innings per start.
  • The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Junis start this season — they lost.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 27, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 11-11
Home 4-3
Road 7-8
vs LHP (Starters) 1-3
vs RHP (Starters) 10-8
Day Games 4-3
Night Games 7-8

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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Tyler Anderson

  • The Pirates will send Anderson (2-2) to the mound for his fifth start this season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tigers.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.92 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across four games.
  • This will be his first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 27, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Royals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 14-7
Home 8-5
Road 6-2
vs LHP (Starters) 5-3
vs RHP (Starters) 9-4
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 14-7

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit 18 home runs this season, the fourth-lowest total in baseball.
  • The Pirates average 0.4 homers per home game this season (three total at home).
  • Pittsburgh has eight home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Bryan Reynolds is batting .304 with two home runs and 11 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.
  • Adam Frazier is batting .310 to lead Pittsburgh this season.

Royals Hitting Stats

  • The Royals rank 25th in Major League Baseball with 21 home runs.
  • They’ve won all five of their games this year when they hit two or more home runs hit as a team.
  • Kansas City has 10 homers over its last 10 games.
  • The Royals have won five straight games and are batting .228 as a team with 24 runs scored over that span.
  • Whit Merrifield has four doubles, three home runs and four walks while batting .286.
  • Carlos Santana has shown off his power as he leads his team with five home runs and 18 RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Pirates (-109)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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