Mets Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 22, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 22, 2021

The Chicago Cubs (8-9) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the New York Mets (7-6) when the teams meet at 7:40 PM ET on Thursday. The Mets are -134 favorites to prevent the Cubs from completing the sweep. New York’s Joey Lucchesi and Chicago’s Trevor Williams have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 22, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Cubs Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won five of those games.
  • New York is 4-3 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 7
ERA 3.26
K/9 11.4

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in six games this year and have walked away with the win four times (66.7%) in those games.
  • Chicago has been listed as an underdog of +114 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 44.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to clear the total five times.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 13
ERA 5.97
K/9 8.6

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

  • Williams gets the start for the Cubs, his fourth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 5.02 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Braves, the righty went five innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.02, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .281 batting average against him.
  • Williams will look to record his third matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for one Williams start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 22, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 7-6
Home 4-1
Road 3-5
vs LHP (Starters) 0-2
vs RHP (Starters) 7-4
Day Games 2-2
Night Games 5-4

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi

  • Lucchesi heads to the mound for the Mets to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw three innings against the Rockies, giving up three earned runs.
  • His team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 22, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 8-9
Home 6-5
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 4-0
vs RHP (Starters) 4-9
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 7-7

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets have hit the fewest home runs in MLB action this season (nine).
  • The Mets average 0.8 homers per game when playing on the road this season (six total in road contests).
  • New York has seven home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .395 with zero home runs and four RBI for New York this season.
  • Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with three and runs batted in with nine.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs’ 23 home runs rank eighth in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit 17 homers, an average of 1.5 per game, in 11 home contests this season.
  • Chicago has 13 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Kris Bryant has launched a team-high five home runs.
  • Willson Contreras has shown off his power as he leads his team with five home runs with a team-leading .269 batting average.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+114)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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