Reds Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 22, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 22, 2021

Expect a few home runs when Tyler Naquin (6 HR) and the Cincinnati Reds (9-8) take on Eduardo Escobar (6 HR) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (8-10) at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 12:35 PM ET. Naquin and the Reds are -148 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Cincinnati’s Jeff Hoffman gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Taylor Widener.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 22, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 14 games this season and won eight (57.1%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has entered five games this season favored by -148 or more and is 4-1 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%.
  • The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 10
ERA 4.30
K/9 10.6

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (47.1%) in those games.
  • This season, Arizona has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Diamondbacks and their foes are 6-4 in their last 10 contests.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 15
ERA 4.23
K/9 8.2

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Taylor Widener

  • Widener (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Diamondbacks in his fourth start of the season. He has a 1.59 ERA in 17 innings pitched, with 11 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the right-hander threw six scoreless innings against the Nationals while surrendering four hits.
  • In three games this season, the 26-year-old has a 1.59 ERA and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .230 to opposing hitters.
  • Widener is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The Diamondbacks are 1-2 in Widener’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 22, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-8
Home 7-4
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 8-8
Day Games 4-2
Night Games 5-6

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Jeff Hoffman

  • The Reds will send Hoffman (2-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Indians.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in three games this season with a 2.93 ERA, 7 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .276.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 22, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 8-10
Home 2-3
Road 6-7
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 7-8
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 8-9

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds are third-best in MLB play with 25 total home runs.
  • The Reds have a 7-2 record in games this season when they put up at least two home runs.
  • Cincinnati has hit 10 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Jesse Winker has been key for Cincinnati with one home run, six RBI and a batting average of .362 this season.
  • Tucker Barnhart is batting .351 with an OBP of .415 and a slugging percentage of .622 this season.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 24 home runs rank seventh in Major League Baseball.
  • They are 5-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Arizona has hit 15 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Escobar paces the Diamondbacks with six home runs and 11 runs batted in.
  • Carson Kelly has two doubles, three home runs and 11 walks while batting .375.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-148)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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