Padres Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 20, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 20, 2021

Seeking their 11th win, the San Diego Padres (10-8) are favorites (-125) on the moneyline when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (9-7) on Tuesday at 10:10 PM ET. Chris Paddack starts for San Diego while Milwaukee will counter with Corbin Burnes.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 20, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Padres vs Brewers Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won nine out of the 15 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Diego is 9-6 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 53.6% chance to win.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 5-5 in their last 10 games with a total.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 10
ERA 3.16
K/9 11.1

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been underdogs in five games this season and have come away with the win four times (80%) in those contests.
  • Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +108 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 46.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Brewers and their foes are 4-5-1 in their last 10 contests.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5
HR 13
ERA 2.70
K/9 9.1

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • The Brewers are sending Burnes (1-1) out to make his fourth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a .49 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 18 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Cubs, when he threw six scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old’s .49 ERA ranks second, his .220 WHIP ranks first, his 30 strikeouts rank eighth, and his 14.70 K/9 ranks third.
  • Burnes enters the matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Brewers have not been a moneyline underdog when Burnes starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 20, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 10-8
Home 5-6
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 2-2
vs RHP (Starters) 8-6
Day Games 2-0
Night Games 8-8

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Chris Paddack

  • The Padres will hand the ball to Paddack (1-1) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in five innings against the Pirates.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.15, a 1.7 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.460 in three games this season.
  • His team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 20, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-7
Home 4-5
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 9-7
Day Games 4-3
Night Games 5-4

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres are 17th in MLB action with 17 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.
  • The Padres average 0.8 homers per home game this season (nine total at home).
  • San Diego has hit 10 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Eric Hosmer leads San Diego in home runs with three, runs batted in with 14 and his batting average of .323 is also best on his team.
  • Wil Myers’ three home runs are most among San Diego batters. He’s driven in 11 runs this season while slugging .556.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers have hit 19 homers this season, which ranks 11th in the league.
  • They are 5-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Milwaukee has hit 13 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers with three home runs.
  • Omar Narvaez has a double, two home runs and four walks while batting .350.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+108)

Over/Under Pick: Under (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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