Nuggets Vs Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – April 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 19, 2021

The Denver Nuggets (36-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (29-26) in a matchup of Northwest Division teams at Ball Arena, starting at 9:00 PM ET on Monday, April 19, 2021. The Grizzlies are 6.5-point underdogs in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 227 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of April 19, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 19

Monte Morris: Out (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Out For Season (Knee)

Justise Winslow: Day To Day (Thigh),
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (Knee),
De’Anthony Melton: Day To Day (Leg),
Brandon Clarke: Day To Day (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Grizzlies (+6.5)
Total Pick Under (227)
Prediction Nuggets 116, Grizzlies 110

The model favors the Nuggets by 5.9 points, just 0.6 fewer than the 6.5-point spread set by FanDuel.

The model predicts a total 1.9 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Nikola Jokic 56 26.1 11.0 8.8 1.4 0.7 1.4
Jamal Murray 48 21.2 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 46 17.6 7.7 1.0 0.7 0.9 2.4
Aaron Gordon 36 13.6 6.0 3.7 0.7 0.8 1.4
Will Barton 53 12.6 4.0 3.2 0.9 0.4 1.7

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 41.5, 4.4 less than his season average of 45.9.
  • Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Jokic’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.9 steals lower than his season average of 1.4.

Grizzlies Key Players

Ja Morant 47 18.7 3.6 7.3 0.8 0.2 1.0
Jonas Valanciunas 50 17.0 12.6 1.8 0.5 0.8 0.3
Dillon Brooks 52 16.8 2.9 2.4 1.2 0.4 1.9
Kyle Anderson 53 12.2 6.0 3.7 1.3 0.8 1.3
Grayson Allen 42 11.2 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.2 2.4

Grizzlies Player Props

  • Ja Morant’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 7.5 assists, 0.2 assists higher than his season average of 7.3.
  • Jonas Valanciunas’ rebounding prop total for the matchup is set at 15.5 rebounds, 2.9 rebounds greater than his season average of 12.6.
  • Grayson Allen’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 1.1 shots higher than his season average of 2.4.
  • Kyle Anderson’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals greater than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Nuggets have a 48.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.2% higher than the 46.7% of shots the Grizzlies’ opponents have hit.
  • Denver has a 21-13 record against the spread and a 26-8 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.7% from the field.
  • Memphis’ record is 29-7 against the spread and 24-12 overall when its opponents make more than 48.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Grizzlies have shot at a 46.9% clip from the field this season, the same as opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
  • Memphis has put together a 23-5 record against the spread and a 22-6 straight up record in games it shoots better than 46.9% from the field.
  • Denver is 20-7 against the spread and 25-2 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 46.9% from the field.
  • The Nuggets’ 38.5% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Grizzlies have shot from deep (36.2%).
  • Denver has a 21-15 record against the spread and a 25-11 record overall when the team connects on more than 36.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Memphis is 27-6 against the spread and 21-12 overall when its opponents shoot better than 38.5% from deep.
  • The Grizzlies are knocking down 36% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is the same that the Nuggets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Memphis has a 20-5 ATS record and is 16-9 straight-up when the team makes more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver is 19-12 ATS and 24-7 overall in games it shoots over 36% from deep.
  • The Nuggets’ 13 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.9 more made shots on average than the 11.1 per game the Grizzlies give up.
  • Denver has gone 15-9 against the spread and 17-7 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Memphis makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 14-16 ATS and 12-18 straight up.
  • The Grizzlies make the 25th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nuggets give up the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Grizzlies AVG Grizzlies Rank
4th 115.3 Points Scored 113.4 14th
8th 109.8 Points Allowed 111.7 17th
14th 44.6 Rebounds 46.2 7th
4th 10.8 Off. Rebounds 11.2 2nd
13th 13 3pt Made 11.1 25th
4th 27.1 Assists 27.1 3rd
9th 12.7 Turnovers 12.6 8th

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