Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 18, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 18, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (8-6) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (6-9) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Brewers are -205 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Pirates (+175). Freddy Peralta starts for Milwaukee while Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 18, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won five out of the 10 games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -205 odds on them winning this game.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 11
ERA 2.20
K/9 9.1

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorous in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +175 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 35.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 6
ERA 4.19
K/9 8.5

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Chad Kuhl

  • The Pirates will send Kuhl (0-1) to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and eight strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Padres, when the righty went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has a 6.75 ERA and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings across three games this season, while allowing a batting average of .206 to opposing hitters.
  • The Pirates are 2-1 in Kuhl’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 18, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 8-6
Home 4-4
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 8-6
Day Games 4-2
Night Games 4-4

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta will get the start for the Brewers, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he threw six innings against the Cubs, giving up one earned run.
  • Peralta has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 18, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-9
Home 4-3
Road 2-6
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 5-7
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 5-6

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers rank 23rd in MLB play with 13 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.
  • The Brewers average 0.4 homers per game when playing at home this season (three total in home contests).
  • Milwaukee has 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Travis Shaw leads Milwaukee in home runs with three and runs batted in with 12.
  • Omar Narvaez has 13 hits and an OBP of .452 to go with a slugging percentage of .543 this season.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates rank 25th in Major League Baseball with 12 home runs.
  • They have averaged 1.1 home runs per game in their eight road contests this season.
  • Pittsburgh has six homers over its last 10 games.
  • Adam Frazier has a team-high batting average of .315 and paces the Pirates in runs batted in (nine).
  • Colin Moran has shown off his power as he paces his team with three home runs and nine RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+175)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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