Astros Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

Two of the league’s top power hitters will meet Saturday when the Houston Astros (6-7) and Seattle Mariners (9-5) take to the field at 9:10 PM ET. Kyle Tucker has four home runs for the Astros (-137 favorites on the moneyline) while Mitch Haniger has four homers this season for the Mariners (+118). Houston’s Zack Greinke gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Chris Flexen.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Mariners Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored seven times and won two of those games.
  • Houston is 2-5 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 14
ERA 5.22
K/9 8.8

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (63.6%) in those contests.
  • Seattle has a mark of 3-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on six occasions.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 14
ERA 4.90
K/9 7.9

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • Flexen (1-0) makes the start for the Mariners, his third of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Twins, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Flexen heads into this matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for two Flexen starts this season — they won both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-7
Home 1-5
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 4-4
vs RHP (Starters) 2-3
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 6-7

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • The Astros will hand the ball to Greinke (1-1) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Tigers.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 37-year-old’s WHIP and strikeout total fall outside of the league’s leaders.
  • His team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mariners Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-5
Home 4-3
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 3-1
vs RHP (Starters) 6-4
Day Games 3-1
Night Games 6-4

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros are fourth-best in baseball with 19 total home runs.
  • The Astros have a 5-1 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Houston has hit 14 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • The Astros are on a six-game losing streak entering this matchup. Over that span the team is scoring three runs per game against the 6.5 per game it has given up.
  • Yuli Gurriel is batting .422 with one home run and five RBI for Houston this season.
  • Carlos Correa has 15 hits and an OBP of .339 to go with a slugging percentage of .519 this season.

Mariners Hitting Stats

  • The Mariners’ 16 home runs rank 11th in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 0.4 home runs per game in their seven home contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Seattle has hit 14 home runs.
  • Haniger has a team-high batting average of .351, while leading the Mariners in home runs (four).
  • Kyle Seager has totaled 12 runs batted in to pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Astros (-137)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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