Dodgers Vs Padres: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers (11-2) are -130 favorites in a battle of the best in the National League on Saturday, while the second-place San Diego Padres (9-5) are listed as underdogs (+112). The game begins at 8:40 PM ET, live from PETCO Park. Los Angeles’ Clayton Kershaw gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Yu Darvish.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 13 times and won 11, or 84.6%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 11-2, a 84.6% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 17
ERA 1.99
K/9 9.6

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Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres will be posted as the underdog for the first time this season.
  • Oddsmakers have given San Diego the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +112 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Padres and their foes are 4-6 in their previous 10 contests.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 2.53
K/9 10.2

Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • Darvish (1-0) takes the mound first for the Padres in his fourth start of the season. He has a 3.06 ERA in 17 2/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Monday, the righty tossed seven innings against the Pirates, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 34-year-old’s strikeouts ranks 19th in strikeouts.
  • Darvish will try to continue a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • The Padres have not been a moneyline underdog when Darvish starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Dodgers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 11-2
Home 6-0
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 3-1
vs RHP (Starters) 8-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 10-1

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw

  • The Dodgers’ Kershaw (2-1) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Nationals.
  • The 33-year-old does not rank among the top pitchers in baseball among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • His team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-5
Home 4-3
Road 5-2
vs LHP (Starters) 2-1
vs RHP (Starters) 7-4
Day Games 2-0
Night Games 7-5

Dodgers Hitting Stats

  • The Dodgers rank fifth-best in baseball with 18 total home runs.
  • The Dodgers average one home runs per game when playing away from home this season (seven total in road contests).
  • Los Angeles has hit 17 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • The Dodgers take a six-game win streak into this matchup, over which the team is batting .250 and averaging 5.2 runs per game.
  • Justin Turner leads Los Angeles in home runs with four, runs batted in with 14 and his batting average of .432 is also best on his team.
  • Max Muncy has 15 hits and an OBP of .500 to go with a slugging percentage of .683 this season.

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres rank 15th in Major League Baseball with 15 home runs.
  • They have averaged 1 home runs per game in their seven home contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, San Diego has hit 10 home runs.
  • Wil Myers paces the Padres with three home runs and 11 runs batted in.
  • Eric Hosmer has shown his power as he leads his team with three home runs and 11 runs batted in.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Dodgers (-130)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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