Marlins Vs Giants: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

The Miami Marlins (6-7) host the San Francisco Giants (8-5) at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in MLB. Adam Duvall has racked up four homers this season, ninth in the league, for the favored Marlins (-129), while Evan Longoria ranks ninth in the majors with four dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Sandy Alcantara starts for Miami while San Francisco will counter with Aaron Sanchez.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Giants Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites four times this season and won once.
  • Miami has played as a favorite of -129 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The Marlins have a 54.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 3.77
K/9 9.6

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Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been underdogs in six games this season and have come away with the win four times (66.7%) in those contests.
  • This year, San Francisco has won two of three games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 45.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Giants and their foes are 1-9 when it comes to hitting the over.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 11
ERA 2.43
K/9 8.2

Giants Probable Pitcher – Aarón Sánchez

  • Sanchez (0-1) starts for the Giants, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Reds, when he went five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Sánchez will try to collect his third outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Giants were named the moneyline underdog for two Sánchez starts this season — they lost both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-7
Home 2-5
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 2-1
vs RHP (Starters) 4-6
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 5-4

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins’ Alcantara (0-1) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Braves.
  • The 25-year-old’s .870 WHIP ranks 16th, and his 21 strikeouts rank 14th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.
  • His team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Giants Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 8-5
Home 5-1
Road 3-4
vs LHP (Starters) 4-3
vs RHP (Starters) 4-2
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 8-5

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins have hit 11 home runs this season, the fourth-lowest total in MLB play.
  • The Marlins average 0.6 homers per game when playing at home this season (four total in home contests).
  • Miami has nine home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Starling Marte is batting .320 with two home runs and seven RBI for Miami this season.
  • Jesus Aguilar’s batting average of .333 leads all Miami hitters this season.

Giants Hitting Stats

  • The Giants’ 17 home runs rank eighth in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit 11 homers, an average of 1.6 per game, in seven road contests this season.
  • San Francisco has 11 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Longoria has racked up a team-best four home runs and nine runs batted in.
  • Donovan Solano is batting .316 with two doubles and two walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (+112)

Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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