Reds Vs Indians: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (8-5) host the Cleveland Indians (7-6) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in MLB. Tyler Naquin has racked up five homers this season, fourth in the league, for the favored Reds (-130), while Franmil Reyes ranks ninth in the majors with four dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Sonny Gray starts for Cincinnati while Cleveland will counter with Triston McKenzie.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Indians Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have won seven out of the 11 games, or 63.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Cincinnati has entered four games this season favored by -130 or more, and won each of those games.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 54.5% chance to win.
  • The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 16
ERA 4.14
K/9 9.9

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Indians Betting Insights

  • The Indians have been underdogs in four games this season and have come away with the win two times (50%) in those contests.
  • Cleveland has played as an underdog of +112 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Indians have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Indians and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on three occasions.

Indians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 13
ERA 3.26
K/9 9.7

Indians Probable Pitcher – Triston McKenzie

  • McKenzie (0-0) starts for the Indians, his second this season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed four innings against the White Sox, allowing three earned runs while surrendering two hits.
  • The Indians were named the moneyline underdog for one McKenzie start this season — they lost.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 8-5
Home 6-1
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 7-5
Day Games 3-1
Night Games 5-4

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray

  • The Reds will send out Gray for his first start of the season.
  • The last time the 31-year-old righty pitched was on Sunday, Sept. 27, throwing 5 1/3 innings as the starter against the Twins.
  • The Indians have scored 49 runs this season, which ranks 26th in MLB. They have 85 hits, 27th in baseball, with 18 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • Gray and his team won as favorites in 55.6% of his nine appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Indians Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 7-6
Home 4-1
Road 3-5
vs LHP (Starters) 3-4
vs RHP (Starters) 4-2
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 7-6

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit a league-leading 22 home runs, averaging 1.7 per game.
  • The Reds are 7-2 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
  • Cincinnati has hit 16 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Nicholas Castellanos leads Cincinnati in home runs this season with five while driving in 10 runs.
  • Mike Moustakas is batting .289 with an OBP of .404 and a slugging percentage of .553 this season.

Indians Hitting Stats

  • The Indians have hit 18 homers this season, which ranks fifth in the league.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
  • Cleveland has 13 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Reyes leads the Indians with four home runs and eight runs batted in.
  • Eddie Rosario is hitting .227 with two doubles, two home runs and five walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Indians (+112)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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