Braves Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

The Chicago Cubs (5-8) will look to Willson Contreras, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Atlanta Braves (6-8) on Saturday at Wrigley Field. The Braves are -132 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 2:20 PM ET. Atlanta’s Huascar Ynoa and Chicago’s Trevor Williams have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Braves vs Cubs Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won four out of the 10 games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 4-4 when favored by -132 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.9% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 14
ERA 4.91
K/9 10.5

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been underdogs in three games this season and have come away with the win one time (33.3%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has been listed as an underdog of +114 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 45.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Cubs and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their previous 10 games.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.2
HR 11
ERA 4.86
K/9 10.1

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

  • The Cubs are sending Williams (1-1) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Pirates, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • Williams has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this year entering this matchup.
  • The Cubs have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Williams starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-8
Home 3-4
Road 3-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 5-7
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 5-5

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Huascar Ynoa

  • The Braves will send Ynoa to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw six innings, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits against the Marlins.
  • Ynoa has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • His team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-8
Home 3-4
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 3-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-8
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 4-6

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves rank second in baseball with 20 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.
  • The Braves average 1.0 home runs per road game this season (seven total away from home).
  • Atlanta has collected 14 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .429 with seven home runs and 16 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among Atlanta hitters this season.
  • Freddie Freeman is batting .200 with an OBP of .322 and a slugging percentage of .460 this season.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs’ 14 home runs rank 18th in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 1.1 home runs per game in their seven home contests this season.
  • Chicago has hit 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Kris Bryant has a team-high three home runs.
  • Contreras’ three home runs and .257 batting average both lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Braves (-132)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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