Nationals Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

Oddsmakers declined to choose a favorite for Saturday’s matchup between the Washington Nationals (4-7) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (5-9), declaring the game a pick ’em. The teams will take to the field at 1:05 PM ET Erick Fedde starts for Washington while Luke Weaver is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 17, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals entered a game as favorites 27 times last season and won 12, or 44.4%, of those games.
  • Washington was 12-15 last season when entering a game favored by -108 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
  • Washington and its opponents went over the total last season in 30 of their 56 opportunities.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been victorous in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Arizona has won five of 12 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to clear the total six times.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 4.78
K/9 7.8

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver

  • Weaver (1-0) takes the mound first for the Diamondbacks to make his third start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Reds, when he went seven scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
  • Weaver heads into the matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Diamondbacks were the moneyline underdog for two Weaver starts this season — they won both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-7
Home 2-3
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-3
vs RHP (Starters) 3-4
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 3-7

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Erick Fedde

  • Fedde will take to the mound for the Nationals, his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits against the Cardinals.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 17, 2021 at 2:14 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-9
Home 2-3
Road 3-6
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 4-7
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 5-8

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals ranked 21st-best in MLB play with 66 total home runs last season.
  • The Nationals had a 10-9 record in games last season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Juan Soto finished with a .351 batting average last season and 13 home runs.
  • Trea Turner was a key run producer with a .335 average, 12 homers and 41 RBI.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 18 home runs rank fifth in Major League Baseball.
  • In nine games on the road this season, they’ve hit 12 homers, an average of 1.3 per contest.
  • Arizona has 13 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Carson Kelly has two doubles, two home runs and six walks while batting .407.
  • Eduardo Escobar has put his power on display as he leads his team with five home runs and nine RBI.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Nationals (-108)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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