Bucks Vs Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – April 17, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2021

A game after he put up 32 points in a 126-115 win over the Bulls, Dillon Brooks leads the Memphis Grizzlies (28-26) on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks (35-20) as 8.5-point underdogs. The matchup, which airs on BSWI, tips at 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, April 17, 2021. The matchup has a point total of 236.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 17, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 17

Donte DiVincenzo: Day To Day (Toe)

Justise Winslow: Out (Thigh),
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (Knee),
De’Anthony Melton: Out (Leg),
Brandon Clarke: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Grizzlies (+8.5)
Total Pick Under (236.5)
Prediction Bucks 118, Grizzlies 110

The spread for this game suggested by the model (7.2 points) is a little tighter than the 8.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite.

In this game, the model projects a total (228.2 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (236.5 points). Bet on the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Giannis Antetokounmpo 46 28.5 11.2 6.1 1.2 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 53 20.2 6.1 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 43 17.2 4.5 5.4 1.7 0.5 1.9
Brook Lopez 54 11.6 5.1 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 51 11.4 7.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is set at 3.5 assists, 2.6 assists lower than his season average of 6.1.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 shots lower than his season average of 2.2.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals lower than his season average of 1.7.

Grizzlies Key Players

Ja Morant 46 18.8 3.5 7.3 0.8 0.2 0.9
Jonas Valanciunas 49 17.0 12.7 1.8 0.5 0.8 0.3
Dillon Brooks 51 16.7 2.9 2.4 1.2 0.4 1.9
Kyle Anderson 52 12.3 5.9 3.6 1.3 0.8 1.3
Brandon Clarke 45 11.2 5.6 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.4

Grizzlies Player Props

  • Ja Morant’s assists prop total for the matchup is listed at 7.5 assists, 0.2 assists greater than his season average of 7.3.
  • Jonas Valanciunas’ rebounding prop over/under for the matchup is posted at 12.5 boards, 0.2 rebounds lower than his season average of 12.7.
  • Grayson Allen’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 1.2 shots greater than his season average of 2.3.
  • Kyle Anderson’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.8% higher than the 46.7% of shots the Grizzlies’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Milwaukee is 21-14 against the spread and 27-8 overall when it shoots better than 46.7% from the field.
  • Memphis has a 27-7-1 record against the spread and a 23-12 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Grizzlies have shot at a 46.8% rate from the field this season, 1.7 percentage points higher than the 45.1% shooting opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
  • Memphis is 27-8 against the spread and 23-12 overall when it shoots better than 45.1% from the field.
  • When Milwaukee’s opponents shoot above 46.8% from the field, it is 23-9 against the spread and 29-3 overall.
  • The Bucks are knocking down 39.5% of their three-point shots this season, 3.2% higher than the 36.3% the Grizzlies allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Milwaukee has a 19-20 record against the spread and a 26-13 record overall when the team hits more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Memphis is 26-6-1 against the spread while putting up a 21-12 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 39.5% from beyond the arc.
  • The Grizzlies’ three-point shooting percentage this season (35.9%) is just 1.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.4%).
  • Memphis is 18-3 against the spread and 14-7 overall when shooting above 37.4% as a team from three-point range.
  • Milwaukee has an 18-4 ATS record and a 21-1 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 35.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Bucks make 14.7 three-pointers per game this season, 3.7 more made shots on average than the 11 per game the Grizzlies give up.
  • When Milwaukee makes more threes than its opponents, it is 17-7 against the spread and 22-2 overall. When Memphis is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 13-16 ATS and 11-18 straight up.
  • The Bucks make the fourth-most three-pointers in the league, while the Grizzlies allow the 19th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Grizzlies AVG Grizzlies Rank
1st 119.3 Points Scored 113.1 14th
19th 112.7 Points Allowed 111.6 16th
2nd 48.3 Rebounds 46.3 6th
11th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 11.2 2nd
4th 14.7 3pt Made 11 25th
11th 25.5 Assists 27 4th
17th 13.6 Turnovers 12.7 8th

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