Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 16, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 16, 2021

The Pittsburgh Pirates (5-8) hope to avoid their sixth straight road defeat when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (7-5) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -167 favorites, while the Pirates are +140 underdogs as they try to snap their road losing skid. Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 16, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won four of the eight games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee has played as a favorite of -167 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 60% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 13
ERA 2.83
K/9 9.1

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win five times (38.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to clear the total six times.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 5.48
K/9 8.7

Pirates Probable Pitcher – JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker (1-0) gets the start for the Pirates, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings against the Cubs, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • Brubaker has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this season heading into this matchup.
  • The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for two Brubaker starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 16, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 7-5
Home 3-3
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 7-5
Day Games 4-2
Night Games 3-3

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser

  • Houser heads to the mound for the Brewers to make his third start of the season, seeking his second win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Cardinals, throwing five innings and giving up no earned runs.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 16, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-8
Home 4-3
Road 1-5
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 4-7
Day Games 1-3
Night Games 4-5

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers average 1.1 home runs per game to rank 19th in baseball with 13 total home runs .
  • The Brewers average 0.5 homers per home game this season (three total at home).
  • Milwaukee has hit 13 home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Travis Shaw leads Milwaukee in home runs with three and runs batted in with 12.
  • Omar Narvaez leads Milwaukee in batting with a .414 average while slugging two homers and driving in six runs.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 10 homers this season, which ranks 27th in the league.
  • They’ve hit seven homers, an average of 1.2 per game, in six road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Pittsburgh has hit eight home runs.
  • Colin Moran paces the Pirates with eight runs batted in.
  • Phillip Evans’ three home runs and .342 batting average are both team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+140)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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