Nationals Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 16, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 16, 2021

The Washington Nationals (3-7) hope to avoid an upset as -215 favorites when they take on Carson Kelly (with homers in two straight contests) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (5-8). First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, live from Nationals Park. Max Scherzer starts for Washington while Arizona will counter with Taylor Widener.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 16, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Nationals won 12 out of the 27 games, or 44.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Last season, Washington won one of its three games when favored by at least -215 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 65.6% chance to win.
  • Games involving Washington went over the total set by sportsbooks in 30 of 56 chances last season.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been victorous in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Arizona has been listed as an underdog of +180 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 34.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the total, the Diamondbacks and their foes are 6-4 in their last 10 contests.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 13
ERA 4.74
K/9 8

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Taylor Widener

  • The Diamondbacks are sending Widener (1-0) to make his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Reds, when he went five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Widener has two starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Diamondbacks were the moneyline underdog for two Widener starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 16, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-7
Home 1-3
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-3
vs RHP (Starters) 2-4
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 2-7

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer will get the start for the Nationals, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Dodgers, giving up one earned run.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 36-year-old’s .750 WHIP ranks ninth, and his 10.50 K/9 ranks 18th.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 16, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-8
Home 2-3
Road 3-5
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 4-6
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 5-7

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals ranked 21st-best in MLB play with 66 total home runs last season.
  • The Nationals averaged 0.9 homers per home game last season (27 total at home).
  • Juan Soto finished with a .351 batting average last season and 13 home runs.
  • Trea Turner finished with 41 RBI while batting .335 and hitting 12 homers.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 18 home runs rank fifth in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
  • Over the last 10 games, Arizona has hit 13 home runs.
  • Kelly has two doubles, two home runs and five walks while hitting .440.
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit five home runs with nine RBI. Both are team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Nationals (-215)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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