Nationals Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 15, 2021

The Washington Nationals (3-6) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (4-8) on Thursday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET from Nationals Park. The Nationals are listed as -177 favorites, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +150 odds on the moneyline. Patrick Corbin starts for Washington while Merrill Kelly is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 15, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Nationals won 12 out of the 27 games, or 44.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Washington entered 10 games last season favored by -177 or more and was 3-7 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
  • Games involving Washington went over the total set by oddsmakers in 30 of 56 chances last season.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win four times (36.4%) in those contests.
  • Arizona has a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +150 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 38.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks and their foes are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.2

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • The Diamondbacks will look to Kelly (0-2) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed six innings against the Rockies, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Kelly enters this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The Diamondbacks were the underdog on the moneyline for two Kelly starts this season — they lost both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-6
Home 1-2
Road 2-4
vs LHP (Starters) 1-3
vs RHP (Starters) 2-3
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 2-6

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals’ Corbin will make his second start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Dodgers, throwing 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-8
Home 2-3
Road 2-5
vs LHP (Starters) 0-2
vs RHP (Starters) 4-6
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 4-7

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals ranked 21st in MLB action with 66 home runs last season. They averaged 1.1 per game.
  • The Nationals had a 10-9 record last season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Juan Soto slugged 13 homers last season while driving in 37 runs.
  • Trea Turner was a key run producer with a .335 average, 12 homers and 41 RBI.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks’ 14 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 3-1 in those matchups.
  • Arizona has hit nine home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Asdrubal Cabrera leads the Diamondbacks with nine runs batted in.
  • Carson Kelly is batting .429 with two doubles, a home run and four walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+150)

Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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