Twins Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 15, 2021

Two of the league’s top power hitters will meet Thursday when the Minnesota Twins (5-7) and Boston Red Sox (9-3) take to the field at 1:10 PM ET. Nelson Cruz has four home runs for the Twins (-167 favorites on the moneyline) while J.D. Martinez has five homers this season for the Red Sox (+143). Michael Pineda starts for Minnesota while Boston will counter with Garrett Richards.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 15, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in nine games this season and won three (33.3%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 2-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 60.3%.
  • The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 11
ERA 3.80
K/9 9.7

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been named as the underdog five times this year and have yet to lose any of those games.
  • Boston has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +143.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to clear the total seven times.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7
HR 16
ERA 3.90
K/9 9.4

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Richards

  • Richards (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox, his third this season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty threw five innings against the Orioles, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Richards is looking to secure his second start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The Red Sox have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Richards starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-7
Home 1-5
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 2-3
vs RHP (Starters) 3-4
Day Games 2-3
Night Games 3-4

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Michael Pineda

  • Pineda will get the start for the Twins, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Mariners, throwing six innings and giving up two earned runs.
  • His team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 9-3
Home 3-3
Road 6-0
vs LHP (Starters) 3-2
vs RHP (Starters) 6-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 9-3

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins are 14th-best in baseball with 13 total home runs.
  • The Twins have put up two or more homers in four games this season, and are 3-1 in those outings.
  • Minnesota has hit 11 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • The Twins bring a five-game losing streak into this matchup, over which the team is batting .193 and averaging 2.8 runs per game.
  • Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with five home runs this season. He’s batting .469 with nine RBI.
  • Cruz leads Minnesota in runs batted in with 10 while batting .438 with four homers.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox have hit 16 homers this season, which ranks sixth in the league.
  • They’ve won all three of their games in which they’ve hit two or more home runs this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Boston has hit 16 home runs.
  • The Red Sox are batting .318 with 15 home runs and 67 runs scored during their nine-game winning streak.
  • Martinez has racked up a team-best batting average of .378, while pacing the Red Sox in home runs (five) and runs batted in (16).
  • Christian Vazquez is batting .325 with three doubles, two home runs and three walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Twins (-167)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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