Mets Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 15, 2021

The New York Mets (5-3) hope to complete a four-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) when the teams meet at 12:10 PM ET on Thursday. The Mets are -250 favorites to keep the Phillies out of the win column in the series. New York’s Jacob deGrom gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 15, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets entered a game as favorites 37 times last season and won 19, or 51.4%, of those games.
  • New York was 2-1 last season when entering a game favored by -250 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 68.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents went over the total last season in 30 of their 58 opportunities.

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win four times (50%) in those games.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Philadelphia this season with a +210 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 31.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on seven occasions.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.6

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • The Phillies will look to Eflin (0-0) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Braves, allowing four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 27-year-old’s BB/9 and strikeout total are not in the top 20 among qualifying pitchers this season.
  • Eflin enters this matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline underdog for two Eflin starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-3
Home 4-1
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-2
vs RHP (Starters) 5-1
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 4-1

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets will send deGrom to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw eight innings, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits against the Marlins.
  • The 32-year-old ranks seventh in ERA (.64), eighth in WHIP (.710), 12th in strikeouts (21), and seventh in K/9 (13.50) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • His team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 15, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-6
Home 5-1
Road 1-5
vs LHP (Starters) 3-1
vs RHP (Starters) 3-5
Day Games 4-0
Night Games 2-6

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets averaged 1.4 home runs per game to rank ninth in baseball with 86 total home runs last season.
  • The Mets hit 42 homers at home last season (1.4 per game).
  • Michael Conforto finished last season with nine home runs, 31 RBI and a batting average of .322.
  • Dominic Smith was a key run producer with a .316 average, 10 homers and 42 RBI.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies’ 11 home runs rank 23rd in Major League Baseball.
  • They are 2-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Philadelphia has hit 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Didi Gregorius paces the Phillies with two home runs and nine runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .310.
  • J.T. Realmuto has three doubles, a home run and two walks while batting .297.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-250)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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