Reds vs Giants: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 14, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 14, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (7-4) visit the San Francisco Giants (7-4) at 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in MLB. Nicholas Castellanos has racked up four homers this season, seventh in the league, for the favored Reds (-129), while Evan Longoria ranks seventh in the majors with four dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Tyler Mahle gets the starting nod for Cincinnati while Johnny Cueto is San Francisco’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 14, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Giants Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds entered a game as favorites 41 times last season and won 23, or 56.1%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati was 16-14 last season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 60 opportunities.

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Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants were chosen as underdogs in 40 games last year and walked away with the win 17 times (42.5%) in those games.
  • Last year, San Francisco won 14 of 35 games when listed as at least +110 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents hit the over in 31 of their 57 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Giants Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto

  • The Giants will look to Cueto (1-0) to open the game and make his third start this season.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the right-hander tossed 8 2/3 innings against the Rockies, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The 35-year-old is not among league leaders in WHIP and K/9 among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.
  • Cueto is looking to record his third start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • The Giants were the underdog on the moneyline for one Cueto start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 14, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 7-4
Home 5-1
Road 2-3
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 7-4
Day Games 3-1
Night Games 4-3

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle

  • The Reds’ Mahle will make his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Diamondbacks, throwing four innings without allowing a run or hit.
  • His team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 14, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Giants Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 7-4
Home 4-1
Road 3-3
vs LHP (Starters) 4-2
vs RHP (Starters) 3-2
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 7-4

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank seventh in MLB play with 90 total home runs last season.
  • The Reds went 19-7 last season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
  • Castellanos finished with a .225 average, 14 home runs and 34 RBI last season.
  • Eugenio Suarez slugged 15 homers and finished with 38 RBI.

Giants Hitting Stats

  • The Giants’ 81 home runs ranked 12th in Major League Baseball.
  • They hit two or more homers in 24 games last season and were 18-6 in those matchups.
  • Mike Yastrzemski collected 35 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Brandon Belt had 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 29 walks while hitting .309.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-129)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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