Astros vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 12, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 12, 2021

The Houston Astros (6-3) hope to avoid an upset as -250 favorites when they take on Wilson Ramos (with homers in three straight contests) and the Detroit Tigers (3-6). First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET on Monday, live from Minute Maid Park. Zack Greinke takes the mound for Houston while Casey Mize is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 12, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Tigers Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros were favorites in 42 games last season and won 25 (59.5%) of those contests.
  • Houston had a record of 5-2 in games where bookmakers favored them by at least -250 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 68.9% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents hit the over in 28 of their 58 games with a total last season.

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers were chosen as underdogs in 48 games last year and walked away with the win 17 times (35.4%) in those games.
  • Last season, Detroit was victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of +210 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 31.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Detroit and its opponents went over in 23 of their 53 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Casey Mize

  • The Tigers will look to Mize (0-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Twins, when the righty tossed four innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The Tigers were named the moneyline underdog for one Mize start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 12, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-3
Home 1-2
Road 5-1
vs LHP (Starters) 4-2
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 6-3

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • Greinke will take to the mound for the Astros, his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw seven innings against the Angels, giving up two earned runs.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 37-year-old ranks ninth in ERA (1.38), and sixth in WHIP (.690).
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 12, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Tigers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-6
Home 3-3
Road 0-3
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 2-5
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-6

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros ranked 19th in MLB action with 69 home runs last season. They averaged 1.2 per game.
  • The Astros racked up at least two homers in 19 games last season, and finished 11-8 in those contests.
  • Michael Brantley hit .300 last season with five home runs and 22 RBI.
  • Carlos Correa finished with a .383 SLG and five homers while driving in 25 runs.

Tigers Hitting Stats

  • The Tigers’ 62 home runs ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball.
  • They won 14 of the 20 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Jeimer Candelario hit .297 last season with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.
  • Renato Nunez had 12 home runs and 31 runs batted in a season ago.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Astros (-250)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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