Brewers vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 12, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 12, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (5-4), led by the red-hot Avisail Garcia and his two-game homer streak, are -143 favorites to pick up a win over the Chicago Cubs (4-5) on Monday at 7:40 PM ET, live from Miller Park. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Adbert Alzolay.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 12, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers were favorites in 37 games last season and won 18 (48.6%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee was 11-11 last season when entering a game favored by -143 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.4% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee’s games went over the total in 24 of their 58 chances last season.

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs came away with nine wins in the 18 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Chicago had a mark of 2-2 in contests where bookmakers set them as +120 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 43.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago’s games went over the total in 28 of its 58 opportunities.

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Adbert Alzolay

  • Alzolay (0-1) starts for the Cubs, his second this season.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Brewers, when he threw five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The Cubs have always been the moneyline underdog when Alzolay starts this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 12, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-4
Home 1-2
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 5-4
Day Games 3-2
Night Games 2-2

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta will get the start for the Brewers, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five scoreless innings while allowing one hit against the Cubs.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 12, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-5
Home 3-3
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 3-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-5
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 3-4

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers averaged 1.3 home runs per game to rank 16th in MLB play with 75 total home runs last season.
  • The Brewers hit 40 home runs at home last season (1.3 per game).
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. finished last season with seven home runs, 22 RBI and a batting average of .283.
  • Garcia hit .238 with an OBP of .327 and a slugging percentage of .326.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs’ 74 home runs ranked 17th in Major League Baseball.
  • They were 14-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Ian Happ accumulated 12 home runs and had 28 runs batted in last season.
  • Willson Contreras had 10 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks while hitting .249.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+120)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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