Clippers vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2021

The Los Angeles Clippers (36-18) host the Detroit Pistons (16-37) as double-digit, 11-point favorites after Kawhi Leonard went off for 31 points in the Clippers’ 126-109 victory over the Rockets. The game airs on PRIME at 10:00 PM ET on Sunday, April 11, 2021. The matchup’s over/under is set at 220.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 11, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Clippers vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 11

Clippers:
Rajon Rondo: Day To Day (Adductor),
Patrick Beverley: Out (Hand),
Serge Ibaka: Day To Day (Back)

Pistons:
Jerami Grant: Out (Knee),
Rodney McGruder: Out (Elbow),
Wayne Ellington: Out (Rest)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Clippers (-11)
Total Pick Over (220)
Prediction Clippers 117, Pistons 104

The DraftKings line for this game has the Clippers favored by 11, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (13.2 points).

The model’s predicted total (220.7 points) and the DraftKings set total (220 points) are virtually the same for this contest.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Clippers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kawhi Leonard 45 26.0 6.6 5.0 1.7 0.4 2.0
Paul George 40 22.8 6.3 5.3 1.2 0.5 3.3
Marcus Morris 42 12.4 3.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.4
Serge Ibaka 39 10.9 6.7 1.7 0.2 1.2 1.0
Reggie Jackson 51 10.0 2.7 3.0 0.6 0.1 1.6

Clippers Player Props

  • Leonard’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 39.5, 1.9 greater than his season average of 37.6.
  • Paul George’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 34.5, 0.1 higher than his season average of 34.4.
  • George’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 1.8 shots less than his season average of 3.3.
  • Serge Ibaka’s blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 48 22.5 4.8 2.9 0.6 1.1 2.3
Josh Jackson 48 12.8 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.7 1.3
Hamidou Diallo 40 11.9 5.1 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.5
Saddiq Bey 51 10.9 4.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.3
Mason Plumlee 49 10.3 9.1 3.5 0.9 0.9 0.0

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s PRA prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 21.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists, 1.5 lower than his season average of 23.0.
  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 23.5, 6.7 less than his season average of 30.2.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Grant’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Clippers make 48.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.7 percentage points higher than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
  • Los Angeles is 27-6 against the spread and 29-4 overall when it shoots better than 47.7% from the field.
  • Detroit’s record is 20-10-1 against the spread and 15-18 overall when its opponents make more than 48.4% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons are shooting 44.8% from the field, 1.8% lower than the 46.6% the Clippers’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Detroit has a 14-4 record against the spread and an 11-8 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 46.6% from the field.
  • This season, Los Angeles has a 12-5 record against the spread and a 14-3 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot greater than 44.8% from the field.
  • The Clippers shoot 41.8% from deep, 4.5% higher than the 37.3% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • Los Angeles has assembled a 26-11 record against the spread and a 29-8 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 37.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Detroit is 20-9-1 against the spread while putting together a 15-17 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 41.8% from three-point range.
  • The Pistons are knocking down 35.5% of their shots from three-point distance, which is just 0.5 percentage points fewer than the 36% the Clippers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Detroit is 17-6 ATS and 12-12 overall when the team hits more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Los Angeles is 22-7 ATS and 23-6 overall in games it shoots over 35.5% from deep.
  • The Clippers’ 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season is 2.5 more made shots on average than the 12 per game the Pistons allow.
  • When Los Angeles makes more threes than its opponents, it is 28-11 against the spread and 31-8 overall. When Detroit is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 6-13-1 ATS and 2-18 straight up.
  • The Clippers are the fifth-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Pistons allow the seventh-fewest makes from deep.

Clippers vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Clippers Rank Clippers AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
6th 114.8 Points Scored 107.5 25th
6th 108 Points Allowed 111.2 12th
24th 44.2 Rebounds 42.6 19th
19th 9.5 Off. Rebounds 9.8 15th
5th 14.5 3pt Made 12 20th
20th 24.2 Assists 24.5 16th
4th 11.9 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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