Reds vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2021

Coming off of a four-hit game last time out, Tim Locastro leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-6) into action as +104 underdogs against the Cincinnati Reds (6-2). Action gets underway from Chase Field at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday. Jose De Leon starts for Cincinnati while Arizona will counter with Luke Weaver.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Reds won 23 out of the 41 games, or 56.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Last season, Cincinnati won 19 of its 33 games, or 57.6%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 60 games with a total last season.

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks came away with 16 wins in the 39 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Arizona was victorious 12 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Arizona and its opponents hit the over in 24 of their 57 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver

  • Weaver (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Diamondbacks, his second of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Rockies, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The Diamondbacks were named the moneyline underdog for one Weaver start this season — they won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 11, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 6-2
Home 5-1
Road 1-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 6-2
Day Games 3-1
Night Games 3-1

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Reds Probable Pitcher – José De León

  • De Leon will take to the mound for the Reds, his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the Pirates, throwing five innings and giving up two earned runs.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 11, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-6
Home 1-1
Road 2-5
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 3-5
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 3-5

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds ranked seventh-best in baseball last season with 90 total home runs.
  • The Reds went 19-7 last season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Nicholas Castellanos finished last season with 14 home runs, 34 RBI and a batting average of .225.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .202 last season with a team-high 15 home runs and 38 RBI.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks ranked 29th in Major League Baseball with just 58 home runs as a team.
  • They were 9-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • David Peralta had a batting average of .300 with 61 total hits last season.
  • Christian Walker hit .271 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 19 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-122)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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