Cardinals vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2021

The St. Louis Cardinals (5-3) are -129 favorites to take Game 3 of their series with the Milwaukee Brewers (4-4) on Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied at 1-1, and the underdog Brewers are listed with +110 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Daniel Ponce de Leon starts for St. Louis while Milwaukee will counter with Brett Anderson.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cardinals vs Brewers Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Cardinals won 12 out of the 24 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • St. Louis was 9-9 last season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 54.2%.
  • Last season, St. Louis and its opponents hit the over in 21 of their 52 games with a total.

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers were underdogs in 21 games last season and came away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those contests.
  • Milwaukee had a win-loss record of 8-6 when favored by +110 or worse by oddsmakers last year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 45.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents hit the over in 24 of their 58 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brett Anderson

  • Anderson (0-1) takes the mound first for the Brewers to make his second start of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Monday, the left-hander threw five innings against the Cubs, giving up four earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for one Anderson start this season — they lost.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 11, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 5-3
Home 1-1
Road 4-2
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 4-3
Day Games 2-3
Night Games 3-0

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Daniel Ponce de Leon

  • The Cardinals’ Poncedeleon will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw five innings, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits against the Marlins.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 11, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-4
Home 1-2
Road 3-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 4-4
Day Games 2-2
Night Games 2-2

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals hit the fewest home runs in MLB play last season (51).
  • The Cardinals went 10-3 last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Paul Goldschmidt hit six home runs last season while also driving in 21 runs.
  • Nolan Arenado slugged eight homers and finished with 26 RBI.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers ranked 16th in Major League Baseball with 75 home runs.
  • They won 17 of the 22 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. hit .283 last season with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
  • Avisail Garcia had 10 doubles, two home runs and 18 walks while batting .238.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+110)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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