Bulls vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2021

The Chicago Bulls (22-29) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (13-40) as 4.5-point favorites after Zach LaVine exploded for 50 points in the Bulls’ 120-108 loss to the Hawks. The game airs on BSN at 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, April 11, 2021. The matchup has a point total of 231.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 11, 2021, 1:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bulls vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 11

Bulls:
Garrett Temple: Day To Day (Hamstring)

Timberwolves:
Jaylen Nowell: Day To Day (Tibia),
Malik Beasley: Out (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+4.5)
Total Pick Under (231)
Prediction Bulls 115, Timberwolves 112

The model favors the Bulls by 2.8 points, just 1.7 less than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (227.2 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (231 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bulls Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zach LaVine 50 27.5 5.1 4.9 0.9 0.4 3.4
Nikola Vucevic 52 24.3 11.5 3.8 0.9 0.7 2.6
Lauri Markkanen 31 16.0 5.7 0.9 0.4 0.4 2.5
Coby White 48 14.7 4.4 4.5 0.5 0.2 2.2
Thaddeus Young 47 12.3 6.4 4.4 1.2 0.6 0.1

Bulls Player Props

  • LaVine’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 27.5, 10.1 lower than his season average of 37.6.
  • Tomas Satoransky’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 19.5, 3.7 higher than his season average of 15.8.
  • LaVine’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.9 shots lower than his season average of 3.4.
  • Thaddeus Young’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.7 steals less than his season average of 1.2.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 33 24.9 11.1 4.5 0.8 1.4 2.4
D’Angelo Russell 23 19.7 2.7 5.1 1.0 0.5 3.0
Malik Beasley 37 19.6 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 3.5
Anthony Edwards 53 17.9 4.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 51 11.0 4.4 1.1 0.5 1.1 0.8

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Karl-Anthony Towns’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 48.5, 8.0 greater than his season average of 40.5.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 15.5, 2.9 less than his season average of 18.4.
  • Malik Beasley’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 1.0 shot greater than his season average of 3.5.
  • Towns’ blocks prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Bulls are shooting 48% from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points lower than the 48.3% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • Chicago is 18-4 against the spread and 12-10 overall when it shoots higher than 48.3% from the field.
  • Minnesota’s record is 12-9-2 against the spread and 9-14 overall when its opponents make more than 48% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves’ 44.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.4 percentage points lower than the Bulls have given up to their opponents (47.6%).
  • This season, Minnesota has a 4-6-1 record against the spread and a 3-8 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 47.6% from the field.
  • Chicago is 12-2 against the spread and 11-3 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 44.2% from the field.
  • The Bulls are knocking down 37% of their three-point shots this season, two% lower than the 39% the Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Chicago has a 16-7 record against the spread and a 13-10 record overall when the team makes more than 39% of its three-point attempts.
  • Minnesota is 15-7 against the spread while putting up an 8-14 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 37% from three-point distance.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.7%) is 0.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bulls are averaging (34.9%).
  • Minnesota is 12-13-2 against the spread and 8-19 overall when shooting over 34.9% as a team from three-point range.
  • Chicago is 15-10 ATS and 16-10 overall in games it shoots above 34.7% from deep.
  • The Bulls hit 12.4 three-pointers per game this season, just 0.2 fewer made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves give up.
  • Minnesota is 16-9-2 against the spread and 10-17 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Chicago is 8-9 ATS and 4-13 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Bulls are the 19th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Timberwolves allow the 12th-fewest makes from deep.

Bulls vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Bulls Rank Bulls AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
15th 112.7 Points Scored 110.3 22nd
21st 113.6 Points Allowed 117.7 28th
11th 45 Rebounds 42.9 20th
18th 9.6 Off. Rebounds 10.4 11th
19th 12.4 3pt Made 12.6 14th
8th 26.6 Assists 25 13th
29th 14.9 Turnovers 13.6 18th

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