Padres vs Rangers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 9, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 9, 2021

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Giants, the San Diego Padres (4-3) are -195 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Texas Rangers (3-3). The series begins at Globe Life Field, starting on Friday at 8:05 PM ET. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove and Texas’ Kohei Arihara have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 9, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Padres vs Rangers Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Padres won 26 out of the 42 games, or 61.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Diego entered 14 games last season favored by -195 or more and was 9-5 in those contests.
  • The Padres have a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents went over the total last season in 28 of their 58 opportunities.

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Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers were chosen as underdogs in 48 games last year and walked away with the win 17 times (35.4%) in those games.
  • Last season, Texas came away with a win six times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of +163 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 36.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Texas and its opponents went over the total last season in 31 of their 60 opportunities.

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Kohei Arihara

  • Arihara (0-0) gets the start for the Rangers, his second of the season.
  • His last time out came on Saturday against the Royals, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The Rangers were the moneyline underdog for one Arihara start this season — they lost.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 9, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-3
Home 4-3
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 2-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-3
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 4-3

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove

  • The Padres will send Musgrove to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Diamondbacks without allowing a run.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 9, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rangers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-3
Home 2-1
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 1-2
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 2-2

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres ranked fourth-best in baseball last season with 95 total home runs.
  • The Padres hit 43 home runs on the road last season (1.3 per game).
  • Manny Machado finished with a .304 average last season, with 16 home runs and 47 RBI.
  • Wil Myers collected 57 hits, posted an OBP of .353 and a .606 SLG.

Rangers Hitting Stats

  • The Rangers ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball with 62 home runs.
  • In 30 games at home last season, they hit 27 homers, an average of 0.9 per contest.
  • Nick Solak hit .268 last season with 10 doubles, two home runs and 18 walks.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa had four doubles, three triples, three home runs and 14 walks while hitting .280.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Padres (-195)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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