Cubs vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 8, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 8, 2021

The Pittsburgh Pirates will play their first home game of the season on Thursday against the Chicago Cubs, starting at 1:35 PM ET. The Cubs are -143 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Chicago’s Jake Arrieta and Pittsburgh’s Tyler Anderson have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 8, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs won 24, or 60%, of the 40 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Chicago had a record of 16-10 in games where oddsmakers favored them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago’s games went over the total in 28 of their 58 chances last season.

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates won in 19, or 32.8%, of the 58 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Last season, Pittsburgh was victorious 17 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of +125 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh’s games went over the total in 26 of its 59 opportunities.

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Tyler Anderson

  • The Pirates are sending Anderson (0-1) out to make his second start of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 8, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-3
Home 3-3
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 2-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-3
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-3

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jake Arrieta

  • Arrieta will get the start for the Cubs, his second of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 8, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-5
Home 0-0
Road 1-5
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 1-4
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-4

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs averaged 1.2 home runs per game to rank 17th in MLB action with 74 total home runs last season.
  • The Cubs averaged 1.5 home runs per game when playing away from home last season (45 total in road contests).
  • Ian Happ slugged 12 home runs and collected 28 RBI last season while batting .258.
  • Willson Contreras hit .249 with an OBP of .357 and a slugging percentage of .413.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates hit just 59 homers last season, which ranked 27th in the league.
  • They hit two or more homers in 15 games last season and were 7-8 in those matchups.
  • Colin Moran accumulated 10 home runs and had 23 runs batted in last season.
  • Adam Frazier collected 23 runs batted in with 48 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Cubs (-143)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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