Kings vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 8, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 8, 2021

De’Aaron Fox leads the Sacramento Kings (22-29) against the Detroit Pistons (15-36) after putting up 31 points in a 116-106 loss to the Timberwolves. The Kings are 4.5-point favorites in the matchup on Thursday, April 8, 2021, which tips at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS-CA. The point total in the matchup is set at 227.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of April 7, 2021, 9:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Kings vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 8

Kings:
Marvin Bagley III: Out (Hand)

Pistons:
Jahlil Okafor: Day To Day (Knee),
Jerami Grant: Out (Knee),
Rodney McGruder: Out (Elbow)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+4.5)
Total Pick Under (227.5)
Prediction Kings 115, Pistons 111

The model favors the Kings by 3.5 points, just 1.0 fewer than the 4.5-point spread set by William Hill.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (226.0 points) slightly lower than the William Hill over/under (227.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 50 24.6 3.3 7.1 1.4 0.5 1.8
Buddy Hield 51 16.5 4.6 3.2 0.8 0.4 4.0
Harrison Barnes 48 15.7 6.7 3.6 0.8 0.2 1.5
Richaun Holmes 47 14.2 9.0 1.7 0.7 1.7 0.0
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9

Kings Player Props

  • Fox’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 37.5, 2.4 greater than his season average of 35.1.
  • Richaun Holmes’ PRA prop total for the contest is set at 29.5, 4.6 higher than his season average of 24.9.
  • Buddy Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots less than his season average of 4.0.
  • Delon Wright’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals greater than his season average of 1.4.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 48 22.5 4.8 2.9 0.6 1.1 2.3
Josh Jackson 46 12.7 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.7 1.2
Hamidou Diallo 38 12.1 5.1 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.5
Saddiq Bey 49 10.8 4.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.3
Mason Plumlee 48 10.3 9.2 3.5 0.8 0.9 0.0

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 22.5, 0.6 less than his season average of 23.1.
  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 23.5, 6.7 lower than his season average of 30.2.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Dennis Smith Jr.’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 1.0.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Kings have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.4% higher than the 47.8% of shots the Pistons’ opponents have made.
  • Sacramento is 12-13 against the spread and 13-12 overall when it shoots better than 47.8% from the field.
  • Detroit’s record is 19-8-2 against the spread and 14-16 overall when its opponents make more than 48.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons’ 44.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.1 percentage points lower than the Kings have given up to their opponents (48.8%).
  • Detroit is 9-2-1 against the spread and 8-4 overall when it shoots better than 48.8% from the field.
  • This season, Sacramento has an 8-3 record against the spread and a 9-2 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 44.7% from the field.
  • The Kings’ 36.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 1.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pistons have shot from beyond the arc (37.4%).
  • Sacramento has a 12-8 record against the spread and an 11-9 record overall when the team knocks down more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Detroit is 14-7-1 against the spread and 12-11 overall when its opponents shoot better than 36.2% from deep.
  • The Pistons are hitting 35.6% of their shots from three-point range, which is just 3.7 percentage points fewer than the 39.3% the Kings’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Detroit has a 14-3 ATS record and is 10-8 straight-up when the team hits more than 39.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Sacramento has a 13-4 ATS record and a 13-4 straight-up record this season when it makes more than 35.6% of its three-point shots.
  • The Kings knock down 12 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.2 fewer made shots on average than the 12.2 per game the Pistons allow.
  • Detroit is 17-9-2 against the spread and 12-17 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Sacramento is 4-20 ATS and 3-21 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Kings are the 21st-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Pistons give up the sixth-fewest makes from deep.

Kings vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Kings Rank Kings AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
9th 114.6 Points Scored 107.5 25th
30th 118.6 Points Allowed 111.3 14th
25th 42.4 Rebounds 42.6 19th
15th 10 Off. Rebounds 9.9 16th
21st 12 3pt Made 12.2 20th
11th 25.8 Assists 24.5 15th
10th 12.9 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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