Pacers vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Indiana Pacers (22-27) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (13-38) after losing three home games in a row. The Pacers are favored by 3.5 points in the contest, which begins at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, April 7, 2021. The over/under is 227.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 7, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 7

Pacers:
Malcolm Brogdon: Out (Hip),
T.J. Warren: Out For Season (Foot),
Domantas Sabonis: Out (Ankle)

Timberwolves:
D’Angelo Russell: Day To Day (Knee),
Jaylen Nowell: Out (Leg),
Malik Beasley: Out (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pacers (-3.5)
Total Pick Under (227.5)
Prediction Pacers 118, Timberwolves 108

The DraftKings line for this game has the Pacers favored by 3.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (10.3 points). Put your money on the Pacers.

The model projects a total 1.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malcolm Brogdon 44 21.2 4.7 5.8 1.0 0.2 2.7
Domantas Sabonis 47 19.9 11.3 6.0 1.2 0.6 0.8
Caris LeVert 25 17.3 4.3 5.3 1.4 0.3 1.8
Doug McDermott 47 13.3 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.8
Myles Turner 46 12.7 6.4 1.0 0.9 3.5 1.5

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s points prop total for the contest is set at 17.5, 3.7 points lower than his season average of 21.2.
  • T.J. McConnell’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 23.5, 5.8 higher than his season average of 17.7.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.8 shots higher than his season average of 2.7.
  • McConnell’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals lower than his season average of 1.7.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 31 24.5 11.1 4.3 0.8 1.5 2.4
Malik Beasley 37 19.6 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 3.5
D’Angelo Russell 21 19.5 2.7 5.0 1.0 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 51 17.6 4.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 49 10.9 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.8

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Karl-Anthony Towns’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 43.5, 3.6 higher than his season average of 39.9.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 18.5, 0.3 greater than his season average of 18.2.
  • Malik Beasley’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
  • Rubio’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals higher than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • The Pacers make 47% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.9 percentage points lower than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (47.9%).
  • In games Indiana shoots higher than 47.9% from the field, it is 14-8 against the spread and 16-6 overall.
  • Minnesota is 11-7-2 against the spread and 9-11 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 47% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves are shooting 43.9% from the field, 3.1% lower than the 47% the Pacers’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Minnesota is 5-4-1 against the spread and 4-6 overall when it shoots higher than 47% from the field.
  • Indiana is 9-5 against the spread and 9-5 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.9% from the field.
  • The Pacers shoot 36.2% from beyond the arc, 2.4% lower than the 38.6% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • Indiana is 13-8 against the spread and 14-7 overall when it shoots better than 38.6% from distance.
  • Minnesota is 15-5 against the spread while putting together an 8-12 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 36.2% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.6%) is 3.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pacers are averaging (37.7%).
  • Minnesota has an 8-5-2 ATS record and is 5-10 straight-up when the team hits more than 37.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • Indiana has an 11-9 ATS record and an 11-9 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 34.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Pacers hit 12.4 three-pointers per game this season, just 0.2 fewer made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves allow.
  • Minnesota is 16-9-2 against the spread and 10-17 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Indiana is 7-14 ATS and 9-12 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Pacers make the 18th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Timberwolves allow the 12th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Pacers Rank Pacers AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
13th 112.6 Points Scored 109.2 23rd
20th 113.2 Points Allowed 116.7 28th
29th 41.8 Rebounds 43.1 20th
26th 8.8 Off. Rebounds 10.4 11th
18th 12.4 3pt Made 12.6 16th
5th 26.7 Assists 24.8 13th
15th 13.2 Turnovers 13.6 18th

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