Marlins vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Miami Marlins (1-4) and St. Louis Cardinals (3-2) will meet on Wednesday at Marlins Park, beginning at 4:10 PM ET. The Marlins are -109 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Cardinals favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +155 odds. Pablo Lopez starts for Miami while St. Louis will counter with Jack Flaherty.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Marlins were favored 11 times and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
  • Miami had a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by oddsmakers last season.
  • The Marlins have a 50.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Miami went over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 54 chances last season.

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals were victorous in 14, or 50%, of the 28 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, St. Louis was victorious 13 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • St. Louis and its opponents hit the over in 21 of their 52 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

  • The Cardinals are sending Flaherty (0-0) out for his second start of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-4
Home 1-4
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-3
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-3

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • The Marlins’ Lopez will make his second start of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-2
Home 0-0
Road 3-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-2
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 2-0

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins ranked 25th in MLB play with 60 home runs last season. They averaged one per game.
  • The Marlins went 10-6 last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Starling Marte finished last season with six home runs, 27 RBI and a batting average of .281.
  • Jesus Aguilar hit .277 with an OBP of .352 and a slugging percentage of .457.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals ranked last in Major League Baseball with just 51 home runs as a team.
  • In 31 games on the road last season, they hit 24 homers, an average of 0.8 per contest.
  • Paul Goldschmidt racked up a batting average of .304, while hitting six home runs last season.
  • Nolan Arenado hit eight home runs with 26 runs batted in last year.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-107)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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