Phillies vs Mets: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-1) host the New York Mets (1-1) on Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Phillies are favored (-157) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:05 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park. Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia while New York will counter with David Peterson.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Phillies were favored 31 times and won 18, or 58.1%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia had a record of 6-7, a 46.2% win rate, when favored by -157 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 51 games with a total last season.

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Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets were victorous in six, or 28.6%, of the 21 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, New York was victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of +133 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with New York went over the total set by bookmakers in 30 of 58 chances last season.

Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson

  • Peterson will make his first start of the season for the Mets.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, Sept. 24, the 25-year-old left-hander, started and went seven innings against the Nationals.
  • Peterson and his team had a 2-3 record in the five games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-1
Home 4-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 3-0
Night Games 1-1

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

  • Nola will get the start for the Phillies, his second of the season.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 27-year-old’s BB/9 and strikeout total are not in the top 20.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-1
Home 0-0
Road 1-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 1-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-1

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies ranked 11th in MLB play with 82 home runs last season. They averaged 1.4 per game.
  • The Phillies had a 14-6 record last season in games when they put up two or more homers.
  • Didi Gregorius drove in 38 runs while batting .279 last season.
  • Bryce Harper slugged 13 long balls while driving in 33 runs.

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets ranked ninth in Major League Baseball with 86 home runs.
  • They won 16 of the 24 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Michael Conforto hit .322 a season ago with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 24 walks.
  • Dominic Smith racked up 42 runs batted in with 56 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (+133)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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