Twins vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Minnesota Twins (3-2), led by Nelson Cruz on a two-game home run streak, are -167 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Detroit Tigers (3-2). First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday, live from Comerica Park. Minnesota’s Kenta Maeda gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Matthew Boyd.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins won 30, or 62.5%, of the 48 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Minnesota was 12-5 last season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a 60.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents hit the over in 20 of their 59 games with a total last season.

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers were underdogs in 48 games last season and came away with the win 17 times (35.4%) in those contests.
  • Last year, Detroit won 10 of 26 games when listed as at least +145 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit and its opponents went over in 23 of their 53 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matthew Boyd

  • Boyd (1-0) gets the start for the Tigers, his second of the season.
  • This season, the 30-year-old ranks first in ERA (.00), and second in BB/9 (6.40) among qualifying pitchers.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-2
Home 0-0
Road 3-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 3-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 2-1

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda

  • The Twins will send Maeda to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Tigers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-2
Home 3-2
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-2

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank sixth in MLB action with 91 total home runs last season.
  • The Twins put up at least two home runs in 26 games last season, and finished 20-6 in those outings.
  • Cruz slugged 16 home runs and collected 33 RBI last season while batting .303.
  • Max Kepler hit .228 with an OBP of .321 and a slugging percentage of .439.

Tigers Hitting Stats

  • The Tigers ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball with 62 home runs.
  • In 28 games at home last season, they hit 27 homers, an average of 1 per contest.
  • Jeimer Candelario hit .293 a season ago with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.
  • Willi Castro hit .346 with four doubles, two triples, six home runs and seven walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Twins (-167)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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