Red Sox vs Rays: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Tampa Bay Rays (2-3) are underdogs on the moneyline (-105) in Wednesday’s contest with the Boston Red Sox (2-3), which starts at 1:10 PM ET. However, the Rays are favored against the spread (1.5) with +145 odds. Nathan Eovaldi takes the mound for Boston while Ryan Yarbrough is Tampa Bay’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Red Sox were favored 13 times and won eight, or 61.5%, of those games.
  • Last season, Boston won seven of its 12 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Last season, Boston and its opponents hit the over in 30 of their 57 games with a total.

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Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays came away with nine wins in the 14 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Tampa Bay had a win-loss record of 8-4 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers last year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 49.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Tampa Bay’s games went over the total in 25 of its 56 opportunities.

Rays Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough

  • Yarbrough (0-0) starts for the Rays, his second of the season.
  • The 29-year-old ranks first in ERA (.00), and 14th in WHIP (.710) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-3
Home 2-3
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-2
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 2-3

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi

  • The Red Sox’s Eovaldi will make his third start of the season.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 31-year-old ranks 19th in strikeouts.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:10 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-3
Home 0-0
Road 2-3
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 2-2
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 1-3

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox ranked 12th in baseball with 81 home runs last season. They averaged 1.4 per game.
  • The Red Sox hit two or more dingers in 22 games last season, and went 14-8 in those contests.
  • Rafael Devers finished with a .263 average last season, with 11 home runs and 43 RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts finished with a .502 SLG and 11 homers while driving in 28 runs.

Rays Hitting Stats

  • The Rays ranked 14th in Major League Baseball with 80 home runs.
  • They hit two or more homers in 24 games last season and were 20-4 in those matchups.
  • Brandon Lowe hit 14 home runs and had 37 runs batted in last season.
  • Willy Adames had 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks while hitting .259.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Red Sox (-112)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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