Reds vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 7, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (4-1) will look to Tyler Naquin, who is coming off of a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-4) on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. Naquin and the Reds are -220 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Chad Kuhl.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Reds won 23 out of the 41 games, or 56.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Cincinnati had a record of 2-1 in games where oddsmakers favored them by at least -220 on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have a 66.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 60 opportunities.

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates came away with 19 wins in the 58 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Pittsburgh had a win-loss record of 2-8 when favored by +185 or worse by bookmakers last year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 33.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 26 of their 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Chad Kuhl

  • Kuhl (0-0) takes the mound first for the Pirates to make his second start of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-1
Home 4-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 3-1
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 2-0

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

  • Castillo will get the start for the Reds, his second of the season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 7, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-4
Home 0-0
Road 1-4
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 1-3
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-4

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank seventh in MLB play with 90 total home runs last season.
  • The Reds averaged 1.9 homers per home game last season (57 total at home).
  • Nicholas Castellanos finished last season with 14 home runs, 34 RBI and a batting average of .225.
  • Eugenio Suarez slugged 15 homers and finished with 38 RBI.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates ranked 27th in Major League Baseball with just 59 home runs as a team.
  • They hit 31 homers, an average of 1 per game, in 30 road contests last season.
  • Colin Moran had 10 home runs and 23 runs batted in last season.
  • Adam Frazier racked up 23 runs batted in with 48 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+185)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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