Nuggets vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Denver Nuggets (31-18) are heavy, 13.5-point favorites as they try to build on a five-game winning streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (15-35) on Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at Ball Arena. The contest airs at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The point total is 220 for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 6, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 6

Nuggets: None

Jahlil Okafor: Out (Knee),
Rodney McGruder: Out (Elbow),
Wayne Ellington: Out (Rest),
Mason Plumlee: Out (Rest)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+13.5)
Total Pick Over (220)
Prediction Nuggets 117, Pistons 105

The model and DraftKings both have the Nuggets taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (12.0 points). Lean towards taking the Pistons.

The model projects a total 1.5 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nuggets Key Players

Nikola Jokic 49 26.3 11.0 8.6 1.5 0.7 1.5
Jamal Murray 47 21.3 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.3 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 39 16.7 7.5 1.0 0.7 0.9 2.5
Aaron Gordon 29 14.5 6.4 3.9 0.7 0.8 1.6
Will Barton 46 12.5 4.2 3.2 0.9 0.5 1.7

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 42.5, 3.4 lower than his season average of 45.9.
  • Jamal Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Jokic’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Pistons Key Players

Jerami Grant 47 22.4 4.8 2.9 0.7 1.1 2.2
Josh Jackson 45 12.8 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.7 1.2
Hamidou Diallo 37 12.2 5.2 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.5
Mason Plumlee 47 10.5 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.0
Saddiq Bey 48 10.5 4.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.2

Pistons Player Props

  • Mason Plumlee’s rebounding prop total for the game is posted at 11.5 boards, 2.1 rebounds greater than his season average of 9.4.
  • Jerami Grant’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 27.5, 2.5 lower than his season average of 30.0.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Dennis Smith Jr.’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.6 steals less than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets are shooting 48.8% from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points higher than the 47.6% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • In games Denver shoots better than 47.6% from the field, it is 18-11 against the spread and 22-7 overall.
  • Detroit’s record is 20-10-1 against the spread and 14-19 overall when its opponents make more than 48.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons have shot at a 44.5% clip from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points below the 46.9% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
  • Detroit has put together a 12-3 record against the spread and a 9-7 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 46.9% from the field.
  • Denver is 12-2 against the spread and 14-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 44.5% from the field.
  • The Nuggets are making 38.7% of their three-point shots this season, 1.4% higher than the 37.3% the Pistons allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Denver has a 16-12 record against the spread and an 18-10 record overall when the team knocks down more than 37.3% of its three-point shots.
  • Detroit is 15-9-1 against the spread while putting together a 13-14 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 38.7% from beyond the arc.
  • The Pistons shoot 35.4% from three-point distance this season. That’s only 0.9 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
  • Detroit is 17-5 ATS and 12-11 overall when the team hits more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver has a 16-9 ATS record and a 20-5 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 35.4% of its three-point shots.
  • The Nuggets connect on 13.3 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 more made shots on average than the 12.1 per game the Pistons allow.
  • Denver has gone 13-7 against the spread and 14-6 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Detroit makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 6-12-1 ATS and 2-17 straight up.
  • The Nuggets are the 11th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Pistons give up the sixth-fewest makes from deep.

Nuggets vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
4th 115.3 Points Scored 107.3 25th
9th 110 Points Allowed 110.8 11th
16th 44.2 Rebounds 42.9 18th
8th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 10 16th
11th 13.3 3pt Made 12.1 20th
3rd 27 Assists 24.5 16th
8th 12.7 Turnovers 13.8 20th

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