Bucks vs Warriors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (32-17) visit the Golden State Warriors (23-27) as 6.5-point favorites after Jrue Holiday racked up 33 points in the Bucks’ 129-128 victory over the Kings. The game airs on TNT at 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, April 6, 2021. The matchup’s point total is 233.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 6, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Warriors Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 6

Bucks:
P.J. Tucker: Out (Calf),
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Knee)

Warriors:
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Eric Paschall: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Warriors (+6.5)
Total Pick Under (233.5)
Prediction Bucks 117, Warriors 112

The model favors the Bucks by 4.4 points, just 2.1 less than the 6.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

The model projects a total 4.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 45 28.8 11.4 6.2 1.1 1.3 1.1
Khris Middleton 48 20.2 6.0 5.5 1.1 0.2 2.2
Jrue Holiday 38 17.0 4.6 5.4 1.8 0.5 1.9
Brook Lopez 49 11.4 5.0 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.5
Bobby Portis 45 11.1 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 6.5 assists, 0.3 higher than his season average of 6.2.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 2.2.
  • Brook Lopez’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks higher than his season average of 1.4.

Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 42 29.4 5.5 6.0 1.3 0.1 4.7
Andrew Wiggins 50 18.2 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.9 2.1
Kelly Oubre Jr. 48 15.0 6.0 1.4 1.1 0.8 1.5
James Wiseman 36 11.4 5.8 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.3
Jordan Poole 29 10.8 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 1.7

Warriors Player Props

  • Draymond Green’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 21.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists, equal to his season average of 21.5.
  • Stephen Curry’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 40.5, 0.4 less than his season average of 40.9.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 4.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 4.7.
  • Green’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 48.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.4% higher than the 45.4% of shots the Warriors’ opponents have hit.
  • In games Milwaukee shoots higher than 45.4% from the field, it is 18-15 against the spread and 24-9 overall.
  • Golden State’s record is 21-18 against the spread and 21-18 overall when its opponents make more than 48.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Warriors are shooting 46% from the field, 0.6% higher than the 45.4% the Bucks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Golden State has a 19-8 record against the spread and a 19-8 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 45.4% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 19-6 against the spread and 24-1 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot over 46% from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 39.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Warriors have shot from deep (36.9%).
  • Milwaukee is 15-14 against the spread and 21-8 overall when it shoots better than 36.9% from distance.
  • Golden State is 18-12 against the spread and 18-12 overall when its opponents shoot better than 39.2% from deep.
  • The Warriors’ three-point shooting percentage this season (36.7%) is only 0.9 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37.6%).
  • Golden State has a 15-8 ATS record and is 16-7 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has an 18-8 ATS record and a 23-3 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.7% from three-point distance.
  • The Bucks’ 14.6 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.9 more made shots on average than the 13.7 per game the Warriors give up.
  • Milwaukee is 14-7 against the spread and 19-2 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Golden State is 4-14 ATS and 3-15 straight up in games when it is out-shot from the three-point line.
  • The Bucks rank fourth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Warriors give up the 15th-fewest made threes in the league.

Bucks vs Warriors Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Warriors AVG Warriors Rank
1st 119.3 Points Scored 111.8 18th
19th 112.9 Points Allowed 114 23rd
2nd 48.1 Rebounds 42.6 26th
12th 10.3 Off. Rebounds 7.9 30th
4th 14.6 3pt Made 13.7 9th
12th 25.7 Assists 27.2 2nd
19th 13.7 Turnovers 14.6 27th

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