Brewers vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (1-3) are set to take on the Chicago Cubs (3-1) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -109 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Cubs have -107 odds. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for Milwaukee while Adbert Alzolay is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers won 18, or 48.6%, of the 37 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Last season, Milwaukee won 18 of its 37 games, or 48.6%, when favored by at least -109 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents hit the over in 24 of their 58 games with a total last season.

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs were underdogs in 18 games last season and came away with the win nine times (50%) in those contests.
  • Last year, Chicago won eight of 17 games when listed as at least -107 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Chicago went over the total set by bookmakers in 28 of 58 chances last season.

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Adbert Alzolay

  • Alzolay makes his first start of the season for the Cubs.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 26-year-old right-hander, started and went five innings against the White Sox.
  • Alzolay and his team went 2-1 in the three games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-3
Home 1-2
Road 0-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-3
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 0-2

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • The Brewers will send Peralta to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The 24-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen once.
  • Peralta appeared in 10 games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 5-5 in those contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-1
Home 3-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 2-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-1

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers ranked 16th in MLB action with 75 home runs last season. They averaged 1.3 per game.
  • The Brewers averaged 1.1 homers per game when playing on the road last season (36 total in road contests).
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. finished last season with seven home runs, 22 RBI and a batting average of .283.
  • Kolten Wong hit .265 with an OBP of .346 and a slugging percentage of .326.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs hit 74 homers last season, which ranked 17th in the league.
  • In 32 games at home last season, they hit 30 homers, an average of 0.9 per contest.
  • Ian Happ had 12 home runs and 28 runs batted in last season.
  • Willson Contreras had 10 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks while batting .249.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Brewers (-109)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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