Rays vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

Coming off of a four-hit game last time out, Xander Bogaerts leads the Boston Red Sox (1-3) into action as +128 underdogs against the Tampa Bay Rays (2-2). Action gets underway from Fenway Park at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday. Tampa Bay’s Tyler Glasnow and Boston’s Martin Perez have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays were favorites in 42 games last season and won 29 (69%) of those contests.
  • Tampa Bay had a record of 18-11 in games where bookmakers favored them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 57.6% chance to win.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay went over the total set by bookmakers in 25 of 56 chances last season.

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox were chosen as underdogs in 44 games last year and walked away with the win 14 times (31.8%) in those games.
  • Last year, Boston won eight of 26 games when listed as at least +128 on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Boston’s games went over the total in 30 of its 57 opportunities.

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Martín Pérez

  • Perez starts for the first time this season for the Red Sox.
  • The 30-year-old southpaw last appeared Thursday, Sept. 24 against the Orioles, when he started and went four innings.
  • Pérez and his team had a 3-6 record in the nine games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-2
Home 0-0
Road 2-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-2
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 1-2

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

  • The Rays will send Glasnow to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 27-year-old ranks first in ERA (.00), and fifth in WHIP (.170).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-3
Home 1-3
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-2
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-3

Rays Hitting Stats

  • The Rays ranked 14th-best in MLB play with 80 total home runs last season.
  • The Rays averaged 1.4 home runs per game when playing away from home last season (55 total in road contests).
  • Brandon Lowe finished with a .269 average last season, with 14 home runs and 37 RBI.
  • Willy Adames collected 48 hits, posted an OBP of .332 and a .481 SLG.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox’s 81 home runs ranked 12th in Major League Baseball.
  • They hit 38 homers, an average of 1.3 per game, in 30 home contests last season.
  • Rafael Devers had 11 home runs and 43 runs batted in last season.
  • Bogaerts hit 11 home runs on the season while slugging .502.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Rays (-148)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy