Mets vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

Seeking their first win, the New York Mets (0-1) are favorites (-137) on the moneyline when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies (4-0) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. New York’s Marcus Stroman and Philadelphia’s Chase Anderson have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets were favorites in 37 games last season and won 19 (51.4%) of those contests.
  • New York entered 25 games last season favored by -137 or more and was 13-12 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • Last season, New York and its opponents hit the over in 30 of their 58 games with a total.

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies were underdogs in 20 games last season and came away with the win six times (30%) in those contests.
  • Philadelphia had a mark of 1-6 in contests where sportsbooks set them as +120 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 51 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • Anderson gets the call to start for the Phillies, his first this season.
  • The 33-year-old right-hander pitched in relief and threw two scoreless innings in his last appearance on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Orioles.
  • Anderson and his team were moneyline underdogs every time he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-1
Home 0-0
Road 0-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-1

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • The Mets will send out Stroman for his first start of the season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 29-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The right-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 4-0
Home 4-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-0
Day Games 3-0
Night Games 1-0

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets ranked ninth-best in MLB action last season with 86 total home runs.
  • The Mets had a 16-8 record last season in games when they put up two or more home runs.
  • Michael Conforto finished with a .322 average, nine home runs and 31 RBI last season.
  • Dominic Smith finished with 42 RBI while batting .316 and hitting 10 homers.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies ranked 11th in Major League Baseball with 82 home runs.
  • They won 14 of the 20 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Didi Gregorius drove in 38 RBI last season while batting .279.
  • Bryce Harper hit 13 home runs on the season while slugging .542.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+120)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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