Reds vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

A pair of surging power hitters meet on Tuesday when Nicholas Castellanos (on a two-game homer streak) and the Cincinnati Reds (3-1) take on Colin Moran (home runs in two straight) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3). The Reds are favorites (-165) for the contest, which starts at 6:40 PM ET, live from Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati’s Wade Miley and Pittsburgh’s Trevor Cahill have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Reds were favored 41 times and won 23, or 56.1%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati was 10-8 last season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.9% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Last season, Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 60 games with a total.

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates were underdogs in 58 games last season and came away with the win 19 times (32.8%) in those contests.
  • Last year, Pittsburgh won 12 of 37 games when listed as at least +140 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 26 of their 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Trevor Cahill

  • Cahill will start for the Pirates, his first this season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Sept. 27, the 33-year-old right-hander threw in relief and went a scoreless third of an inning against the Padres.
  • Cahill and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each time he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-1
Home 3-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 3-1
Day Games 2-1
Night Games 1-0

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • Miley has been named the starter for the Reds and will make his first start this season.
  • The last time the 34-year-old pitched was on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Twins. The lefty threw one scoreless inning out of the bullpen in that matchup.
  • Miley and his team had a 1-1 record when he pitched as a favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:08 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-3
Home 0-0
Road 1-3
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-3
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-3

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds ranked seventh-best in baseball last season with 90 total home runs.
  • The Reds went 19-7 last season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Castellanos finished with a .225 average, 14 home runs and 34 RBI last season.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .202 last season with a team-high 15 home runs and 38 RBI.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates’ 59 home runs ranked 27th in MLB last season.
  • In 30 games on the road last season, they hit 31 homers, an average of 1.0 per contest.
  • Moran put up 10 home runs and had 23 runs batted in last season.
  • Adam Frazier was productive with 23 RBI while collecting 48 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-165)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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