Marlins vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Miami Marlins (1-3) are set to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (2-2) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -130 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Cardinals have +110 odds. Miami’s Sandy Alcantara gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ John Gant.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Marlins were favored 11 times and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
  • Miami had a record of 5-1 in games where oddsmakers favored them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Miami and its opponents hit the over in 29 of their 54 games with a total last season.

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Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals were chosen as underdogs in 28 games last year and walked away with the win 14 times (50%) in those games.
  • St. Louis had a win-loss record of 8-11 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers last year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • St. Louis and its opponents hit the over in 21 of their 52 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – John Gant

  • Gant pitches first in this matchup for the Cardinals, his first of the season.
  • The 28-year-old right-hander last appeared Friday, Sept. 25 against the Brewers, when he came on in relief and went zero scoreless innings.
  • Gant and his team finished with a 3-3 record in the six games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-3
Home 1-3
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-2
Day Games 0-1
Night Games 1-2

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara heads to the mound for the Marlins to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The 25-year-old ranks first in ERA (.00), 13th in WHIP (.670), and 20th in strikeouts (7) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:09 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-2
Home 0-0
Road 2-2
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-2
Day Games 1-2
Night Games 1-0

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins ranked 25th in baseball with 60 home runs last season. They averaged one per game.
  • The Marlins had a 10-6 record last season in games when they racked up two or more home runs.
  • Starling Marte finished last season with six home runs, 27 RBI and a batting average of .281.
  • Jesus Aguilar hit .277 with an OBP of .352 and a slugging percentage of .457.

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals’ 51 home runs ranked last in MLB last season.
  • In 31 games on the road last season, they hit 24 homers, an average of 0.8 per contest.
  • Paul Goldschmidt had a batting average of .304, while hitting six home runs last season.
  • Nolan Arenado had eight home runs and 26 runs batted in a season ago.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+110)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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