Nationals vs Braves: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Washington Nationals begin their season as -127 favorites in a home tilt against the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday at 4:05 PM ET. Max Scherzer gets the starting nod for Washington while Drew Smyly is Atlanta’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 6, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Nationals vs Braves Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals won 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Last season, Washington won 10 of its 20 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 53.7% chance to win.
  • Last season, Washington and its opponents hit the over in 30 of their 56 games with a total.

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Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves came away with five wins in the 16 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Atlanta had a mark of 2-9 in contests where sportsbooks set them as +107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Atlanta and its opponents went over in 31 of their 59 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Braves Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly

  • Smyly makes his first start of the season for the Braves.
  • The 31-year-old southpaw last appeared Sunday, Sept. 27 against the Padres, when he started and went five innings.
  • Smyly and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each game he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer will make his first start of the season for the Nationals.
  • The last time the righty took the mound was on Saturday, Sept. 26 last season, when he pitched six innings in a matchup with the Mets.
  • Scherzer and his team won as favorites in 60% of his 10 appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 6:11 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-3
Home 0-0
Road 0-3
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-3
Day Games 0-3
Night Games 0-0

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals averaged 1.1 home runs per game to rank 21st in MLB play with 66 total home runs last season.
  • The Nationals hit 27 homers at home last season (0.9 per game).
  • Juan Soto slugged 13 homers last season while driving in 37 runs.
  • Trea Turner was a key run producer with a .335 average, 12 homers and 41 RBI.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves ranked second in Major League Baseball with 103 home runs.
  • They hit two or more homers in 27 games last season and were 21-6 in those matchups.
  • Marcell Ozuna racked up 18 home runs and had 56 runs batted in last season.
  • Freddie Freeman hit .341 a season ago with 73 hits.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Nationals (-127)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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