Twins vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 6, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 6, 2021

The Minnesota Twins (3-1) will look to Nelson Cruz, who is coming off of a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers (2-2) on Tuesday at 1:10 PM ET. Cruz and the Twins are -155 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. J.A. Happ gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Casey Mize is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 5, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Twins were favored 48 times and won 30, or 62.5%, of those games.
  • Minnesota had a record of 18-9, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents hit the over in 20 of their 59 games with a total last season.

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers came away with 17 wins in the 48 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Detroit had a mark of 12-23 in contests where oddsmakers set them as +130 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games went over the total in 23 of its 53 opportunities.

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Casey Mize

  • Mize will make his first start of the season for the Tigers.
  • The 23-year-old righty started and threw 4 2/3 innings when he last appeared Wednesday, Sept. 23 against the Twins.
  • Mize’s team went 2-5 in games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-1
Home 0-0
Road 3-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 3-1
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 2-0

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Twins Probable Pitcher – J.A. Happ

  • Happ has been named the starter for the Twins and will make his first start this season.
  • The 38-year-old southpaw hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Wednesday, Oct. 7 against the Rays, when he pitched 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen.
  • The left-hander did not pitch as the moneyline favorite last season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 6, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Tigers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-2
Home 2-2
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 2-2

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank sixth in baseball with 91 total home runs last season.
  • The Twins had a 20-6 record in games last season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Cruz finished with a .303 average last season, with 16 home runs and 33 RBI.
  • Max Kepler collected 39 hits, posted an OBP of .321 and a .439 SLG.

Tigers Hitting Stats

  • The Tigers’ 62 home runs ranked 23rd in Major League Baseball.
  • They won 14 of the 20 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Jeimer Candelario hit .293 a season ago with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.
  • Willi Castro hit .346 with four doubles, two triples, six home runs and seven walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Twins (-155)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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