Kings vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

A game after he exploded for 39 points in a 122-113 loss to the 76ers, Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Minnesota Timberwolves (12-38) at home against the Sacramento Kings (22-28) on Monday, April 5, 2021. The Timberwolves are underdogs by 2 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:00 PM ET on BSN. The matchup has an over/under of 236.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 5, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Kings vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 5

Kings:
Marvin Bagley III: Out (Hand),
Hassan Whiteside: Day To Day (Knee)

Timberwolves:
Ricky Rubio: Day To Day (Back),
Jaylen Nowell: Day To Day (Leg),
Malik Beasley: Day To Day (Hamstring),
D’Angelo Russell: Day To Day (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pick Em
Total Pick Under (236.5)
Prediction Kings 116, Timberwolves 114

The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.0 points of the model. Stay away from this one.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (229.8 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (236.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 49 24.5 3.2 7.1 1.4 0.5 1.8
Buddy Hield 50 16.5 4.5 3.2 0.8 0.3 4.0
Harrison Barnes 47 15.6 6.6 3.6 0.8 0.2 1.5
Richaun Holmes 46 14.2 9.1 1.7 0.7 1.7 0.0
Marvin Bagley III 37 13.9 7.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9

Kings Player Props

  • De’Aaron Fox’s assists prop over/under for the contest is listed at 5.5 assists, 1.6 assists lower than his season average of 7.1.
  • Richaun Holmes’ rebounding prop over/under for the matchup is set at 10.5 boards, 1.4 rebounds greater than his season average of 9.1.
  • Buddy Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 4.5, 0.5 shots greater than his season average of 4.0.
  • Delon Wright’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Karl-Anthony Towns 30 24.6 11.0 4.3 0.7 1.5 2.4
Malik Beasley 37 19.6 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 3.5
D’Angelo Russell 20 19.3 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 50 17.6 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.4 2.1
Naz Reid 48 10.9 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.8

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Towns’ PRA prop over/under for the matchup is set at 42.5, 2.6 greater than his season average of 39.9.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 18.5, 0.1 greater than his season average of 18.4.
  • Malik Beasley’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
  • Towns’ blocks prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 1.0 block lower than his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Kings have a 48.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.3% higher than the 48% of shots the Timberwolves’ opponents have knocked down.
  • In games Sacramento shoots higher than 48% from the field, it is 12-13 against the spread and 13-12 overall.
  • Minnesota is 13-9-2 against the spread and 9-15 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 48.3% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 44% clip from the field this season, 4.9 percentage points below the 48.9% shooting opponents of the Kings have averaged.
  • Minnesota has compiled a 4-3-1 record against the spread and a 3-5 straight up record in games it shoots better than 48.9% from the field.
  • When Sacramento’s opponents shoot above 44% from the field, it is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
  • The Kings’ 36.4% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Timberwolves have shot from beyond the arc (38.9%).
  • Sacramento is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall when it shoots better than 38.9% from distance.
  • Minnesota is 14-7 against the spread while putting up a 7-14 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 36.4% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves shoot 34.6% from beyond the arc this season. That’s 4.7 percentage points lower than the Kings have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (39.3%).
  • Minnesota is 7-2-2 against the spread and 5-6 overall when shooting above 39.3% as a team from three-point range.
  • Sacramento is 12-2 ATS and 12-2 overall in games it shoots over 34.6% from deep.
  • The Kings’ 12.1 made three-pointers per game this season are just 0.5 fewer made shots on average than the 12.6 per game the Timberwolves allow.
  • Minnesota is 15-9-2 against the spread and 9-17 overall when it hit more three-pointers than its opponents, while Sacramento is 4-19 ATS and 3-20 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
  • The Kings are the 21st-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Timberwolves allow the 11th-fewest makes from deep.

Kings vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Kings Rank Kings AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
7th 114.8 Points Scored 109.1 23rd
29th 118.7 Points Allowed 117 28th
26th 42.4 Rebounds 42.9 21st
15th 10 Off. Rebounds 10.3 13th
21st 12.1 3pt Made 12.6 15th
11th 25.8 Assists 24.9 13th
10th 12.8 Turnovers 13.6 18th

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