Suns vs Rockets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

Devin Booker leads the Phoenix Suns (34-14) into a matchup with the Houston Rockets (13-36) after scoring 32 points in a 140-103 win over the Thunder. The Rockets are 11-point underdogs in the matchup on Monday, April 5, 2021, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on SportsNet SW. The matchup’s point total is set at 218.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of April 5, 2021, 7:05 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Suns vs Rockets Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of April 5

Suns:
Frank Kaminsky: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Abdel Nader: Out (Knee)

Rockets:
David Nwaba: Out (Wrist),
Dante Exum: Out (Calf),
Eric Gordon: Out (Groin),
John Wall: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (-11)
Total Pick Over (218.5)
Prediction Suns 117, Rockets 104

The model projects the Suns to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (12.4 to 11).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (221.1 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Devin Booker 44 25.6 4.1 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.1
Chris Paul 47 16.0 4.6 8.7 1.4 0.2 1.3
Deandre Ayton 48 14.5 10.8 1.5 0.4 1.1 0.1
Mikal Bridges 48 13.3 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.9 1.7
Dario Saric 30 10.4 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.2

Suns Player Props

  • Booker’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 34.5, 0.3 higher than his season average of 34.2.
  • Chris Paul’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 28.5, 0.8 less than his season average of 29.3.
  • Jae Crowder’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 2.4.
  • Deandre Ayton’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 blocks higher than his season average of 1.1.

Rockets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Christian Wood 26 20.8 9.8 1.5 0.9 1.3 1.6
John Wall 32 20.2 3.4 6.8 1.0 0.8 1.9
Eric Gordon 27 17.8 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.5 2.6
Kevin Porter Jr. 12 15.3 3.2 5.9 1.0 0.5 1.3
Kelly Olynyk 48 10.9 6.0 2.3 0.9 0.6 1.8

Rockets Player Props

  • Christian Wood’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 31.5, 0.7 less than his season average of 32.2.
  • John Wall’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 2.2 higher than his season average of 30.3.
  • Eric Gordon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Jae’Sean Tate’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals greater than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Suns have a 49% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.1% higher than the 46.9% of shots the Rockets’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Phoenix has a 26-7-1 record against the spread and a 28-6 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.9% from the field.
  • Houston has a 15-17-1 record against the spread and a 13-20 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 49% of their shots from the field.
  • The Rockets have shot at a 43.8% clip from the field this season, 1.6 percentage points less than the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Suns have averaged.
  • This season, Houston has an 11-7 record against the spread and a 9-9 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 45.4% from the field.
  • When Phoenix’s opponents shoot greater than 43.8% from the field, it is 15-4-1 against the spread and 18-2 overall.
  • The Suns’ 37.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 0.4 percentage points higher than opponents of the Rockets have shot from deep (37.3%).
  • Phoenix is 20-6 against the spread and 21-5 overall when it shoots better than 37.3% from distance.
  • Houston is 11-13-1 against the spread while putting together a 10-15 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 37.7% from downtown.
  • The Rockets are knocking down 33.2% of their shots from deep, which is 1.1 percentage points fewer than the 34.3% the Suns’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Houston is 8-9 against the spread and 9-8 overall when shooting above 34.3% as a team from three-point range.
  • Phoenix is 13-5-1 ATS and 15-4 overall in games it shoots above 33.2% from deep.
  • The Suns connect on 12.9 three-pointers per game this season, just 0.5 fewer makes per game than the Rockets allow 13.4.
  • When Houston makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 11-10-1 against the spread and 11-11 overall. When Phoenix is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 8-8-1 ATS and 10-7 straight up.
  • The Suns are the 13th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Rockets allow the 15th-fewest makes from deep.

Suns vs Rockets Stat Rankings

Suns Rank Suns AVG Rockets AVG Rockets Rank
9th 114.2 Points Scored 107.3 24th
5th 107.2 Points Allowed 113.8 22nd
28th 43.3 Rebounds 42.2 24th
28th 8.4 Off. Rebounds 9 23rd
13th 12.9 3pt Made 13.4 10th
2nd 27.2 Assists 22.7 25th
6th 12.5 Turnovers 13.8 21st

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