Padres vs Giants: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

Coming off of a 3-1 series win over the Diamondbacks, the San Diego Padres (3-1) are -190 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the San Francisco Giants (1-2). The series begins at PETCO Park, starting on Monday at 10:10 PM ET. San Diego’s Adrian Morejon gets the start, and he’ll go against San Francisco’s Anthony DeSclafani.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Padres won 26 out of the 42 games, or 61.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Last season, San Diego won 11 of its 16 games, or 68.8%, when favored by at least -190 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego’s games went over the total in 28 of their 58 chances last season.

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Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants came away with 17 wins in the 40 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, San Francisco was victorious six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of +160 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 37% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents went over in 31 of their 57 games with a total set by sportsbooks last season.

Giants Probable Pitcher – Anthony DeSclafani

  • DeSclafani takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Giants.
  • The 30-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen and threw three innings when he last appeared Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Twins.
  • DeSclafani and his team were moneyline underdogs in every game he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-1
Home 3-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 2-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 3-1

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Adrian Morejon

  • The Padres will send out Morejon for his first start of the season.
  • The 22-year-old lefty last pitched Friday, Oct. 9 against the Dodgers, tossing two innings as the starter.
  • Morejon and his team won 60% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 3-2.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:06 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Giants Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-2
Home 0-0
Road 1-2
vs LHP (Starters) 1-1
vs RHP (Starters) 0-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 1-2

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres averaged 1.6 home runs per game to rank fourth in MLB action with 95 total home runs last season.
  • The Padres put up two or more long balls in 28 games last season, and went 22-6 in those contests.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. finished with a .277 average last season, with 17 home runs and 45 RBI.
  • Manny Machado collected 68 hits, posted an OBP of .360 and a .580 SLG.

Giants Hitting Stats

  • The Giants ranked 12th in Major League Baseball with 81 home runs.
  • They were 18-6 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Mike Yastrzemski drove in 35 RBI last season while batting .297.
  • Brandon Belt hit .309 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 29 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Padres (-190)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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