Cubs vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

Seeking their third win, the Chicago Cubs (2-1) are favorites (-118) on the moneyline when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) on Monday at 7:40 PM ET. Chicago’s Trevor Williams and Milwaukee’s Brett Anderson have been named the starters for this contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cubs vs Brewers Betting Lines

Cubs Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Cubs won 24 out of the 40 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Chicago had a record of 21-14, a 60% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 52.2% chance to win.
  • Last season, Chicago and its opponents hit the over in 28 of their 58 games with a total.

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers were chosen as underdogs in 21 games last year and walked away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those games.
  • Last season, Milwaukee was victorious nine times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of +102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Milwaukee’s games went over the total in 24 of its 58 opportunities.

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brett Anderson

  • Anderson will start for the Brewers, his first of the season.
  • The 33-year-old left-hander started and threw two innings when he last appeared on Sunday, Sept. 27 against the Cardinals.
  • Anderson and his team went 4-2 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-1
Home 2-1
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 2-1

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

  • The Cubs will send Williams to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The 28-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Wednesday, Sept. 23 against the Cubs, when he pitched 5 2/3 innings as the starter.
  • Williams appeared in two games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 1-1 in those contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 1-2
Home 1-2
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-2
Day Games 1-1
Night Games 0-1

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs ranked 17th-best in MLB action with 74 total home runs last season.
  • The Cubs averaged 0.9 homers per home game last season (30 total at home).
  • Ian Happ finished with a .258 average last season, with 12 home runs and 28 RBI.
  • Willson Contreras hit .249 with an OBP of .357 and a slugging percentage of .413.

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers hit 75 homers last season, which ranked 16th in the league.
  • They hit two or more homers in 22 games last season and were 17-5 in those matchups.
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. hit .283 a season ago with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
  • Kolten Wong hit .265 with four doubles, two triples, a home run and 19 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Cubs (-118)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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