Rays vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (0-6) will try to end their three-game losing home streak when they host the Tampa Bay Rays (2-1) on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Rays to be -125 favorites for the contest, while the Red Sox are +108 underdogs looking for the upset. Michael Wacha starts for Tampa Bay while Boston will counter with Nick Pivetta.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • Last season, the Rays won 29 out of the 42 games, or 69%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay had a record of 26-13, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents went over the total last season in 25 of their 56 opportunities.

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox were victorous in 14, or 31.8%, of the 44 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Boston was victorious 12 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 46.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Boston and its opponents went over the total last season in 30 of their 57 opportunities.

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta pitches first in this matchup for the Red Sox, his first of the season.
  • The 28-year-old right-hander last appeared Sunday, Sept. 27 against the Braves, when he started and went five innings.
  • Pivetta’s team was the underdog on the moneyline only one time in a game he pitched a season ago, and won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Rays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 2-1
Home 0-0
Road 2-1
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 2-1
Day Games 1-0
Night Games 1-1

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • The Rays will send out Wacha for his first start of the season.
  • The last time the 29-year-old pitched was on Wednesday, Sept. 23 against the Rays. The righty threw six innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • The right-hander appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and won.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-6
Home 0-6
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-4
vs RHP (Starters) 0-1
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-6

Rays Hitting Stats

  • The Rays averaged 1.3 home runs per game to rank 14th in MLB action with 80 total home runs last season.
  • The Rays hit 55 homers away from home last season (1.4 per game).
  • Brandon Lowe finished with a .269 average last season, with 14 home runs and 37 RBI.
  • Willy Adames collected 48 hits, posted an OBP of .332 and a .481 SLG.

Red Sox Hitting Stats

  • The Red Sox hit 81 homers last season, which ranked 12th in the league.
  • They were 14-8 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Rafael Devers racked up 11 home runs and had 43 runs batted in last season.
  • Xander Bogaerts hit 11 home runs on the season while slugging .502.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+108)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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