Mets vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Predictions – April 5, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2021

The New York Mets start their season as road favorites (-225) in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at 7:05 PM ET, live on from Citizens Bank Park. Jacob deGrom takes the mound for New York while Matt Moore is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets entered a game as favorites 37 times last season and won 19, or 51.4%, of those games.
  • New York had a record of 3-1 when favored by -225 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 66.8%.
  • Games involving New York went over the total set by sportsbooks in 30 of 58 chances last season.

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies came away with six wins in the 20 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
  • Last season, Philadelphia was a moneyline underdog of -225 or longer one time, losing every contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 33.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Philadelphia went over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 51 chances last season.

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Matt Moore

  • Moore will take the mound to start for the Phillies, his first this season.
  • It’s the first appearance this season for the 31-year-old southpaw, and his first outing in more than a year.
  • Moore did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 0-0
Home 0-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 0-0
vs RHP (Starters) 0-0
Day Games 0-0
Night Games 0-0

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom

  • deGrom will make his first start of the season for the Mets.
  • The last time the 32-year-old righty pitched was on Saturday, Sept. 26, throwing five innings as the starter against the Nationals.
  • deGrom and his team were 8-4 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of April 5, 2021 at 2:07 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 3-0
Home 3-0
Road 0-0
vs LHP (Starters) 1-0
vs RHP (Starters) 1-0
Day Games 3-0
Night Games 0-0

Mets Hitting Stats

  • The Mets ranked ninth-best in MLB action last season with 86 total home runs.
  • The Mets averaged 1.5 homers per game when playing on the road last season (44 total in road contests).
  • Michael Conforto finished with a .322 average, nine home runs and 31 RBI last season.
  • Dominic Smith finished with 42 RBI while batting .316 and hitting 10 homers.

Phillies Hitting Stats

  • The Phillies hit 82 homers last season, which ranked 11th in the league.
  • They won 14 of the 20 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Didi Gregorius collected 38 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Bryce Harper launched 13 home runs a season ago while slugging .542.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mets (-225)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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